Natural gas markets opened higher with the Euro adding some HDDs later this week, and production continuing to remain lower. The Euro Ensemble added 11 GWHDD vs Friday’s 12z run.

Production continues to printer about 1.5 Bcf/d lower than the March average. The drop primarily comes out of the TX and Midcon region. There is no clear story on what’s driving the lower levels, but the drop could be related to maintenance/repair of equipment after the cold Feb or the start up of some ethylene facilities that is reducing the amount of ethane being rejected in the South.




Today’s Fundamentals

Daily US natural gas production is estimated to be  90.5 Bcf/d this morning. Today’s estimated production is -0.81 Bcf/d to yesterday, and -0.85 Bcf/d to the 7D average.

Natural gas consumption is modelled to be 67.1 Bcf today,  +1.52 Bcf/d to yesterday, and +2.9 Bcf/d to the 7D average. US power burns are expected to be 24.34 Bcf today, and US ResComm usage is expected to be 17.1 Bcf.

Net LNG deliveries are expected to be 11.6 Bcf today.

Mexican exports are expected to be 7 Bcf today, and net Canadian imports are expected to be 3.8 Bcf today.

The storage outlook for the upcoming report is +71 Bcf today.



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