Morning Report: Gas * Power * NGL * Crude * Products * Vols — Jan-29-2026

Jan 29, 2026

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Prices as of 7:32 AM CST

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Price

Previous Settle

% Change

Change

Volume

 

 

Natural Gas

$3.886

$7.460

-47.91%

-$3.574

50,021

 

 

WTI

$65.02

$63.21

2.86%

$1.81

116,034

 

 

Brent

$70.27

$68.40

2.73%

$1.87

5,896

 

 

ULSD

$2.633

$2.666

-1.24%

-$0.033

1,738

 

 

RBOB

$1.922

$1.892

1.59%

$0.030

976

 

 

 

 

Spreads

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current

Previous

% Change

Change

Contract

 

 

WTI-Brent

$5.26

$5.19

1.35%

$0.07

Mar-26

 

 

3:2:1 Crack

$23.80

$24.36

-2.32%

-$0.57

Mar-26

 

 

PJM West Spark

NA

NA

NA

NA

Feb-26

 

 

 

 

Baker Hughes Rig Count

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

Count

Change

1 Year Chg.

1 Year Date

 

 

U.S.

01/23/26

544

1

-32

01/24/25

 

 

Canada

01/23/26

231

5

-14

01/24/25

 

 

International

Dec-2025

1065

-8

-49

Dec-2024

 

 

 

 

CFTC Net Positions

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of 1/20/2026

Open Interest

Total Net Long

Total Net Short

Diff

 

 

PJM West On Peak

124,033

123,693

123,490

203

 

 

PJM West Off Peak

116,408

116,019

115,869

150

 

 

Natural Gas Henry Hub

360,188

346,281

339,527

6,754

 

 

WTI – Light Sweet Crude Futures

170,314

140,122

134,565

5,557

 

 

Brent Crude Last Day

290,494

281,438

284,701

-3,263

 

 

NYM Ethanol

39,885

39,155

39,261

-106

 

 

Mt Belvieu LDH Propane Swap

129,926

129,224

129,591

-367

 

 

RBOB

458,678

432,269

440,801

-8,532

 

 

HSC Basis

770,061

763,912

765,522

-1,610

 

 

 

 

EIA Short Term Energy Outlook

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2023

2024

2025 Projected

2026 Projected

 

 

Brent

$82.00

$81.00

$66.00

$59.00

 

 

Gasoline

$3.50

$3.30

$3.10

$3.10

 

 

Crude Oil Production

$12.90

$13.20

$13.40

$13.50

 

 

Natural Gas Spot

$2.50

$2.20

$4.10

$4.80

 

 

LNG Exports

12.00

12.00

15.00

16.00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electrical Generation %

2023

2024

2025 Projected

2026 Projected

 

 

Natural gas

42.00%

42.00%

40.00%

40.00%

 

 

Coal

17.00%

16.00%

16.00%

15.00%

 

 

Renewables

22.00%

23.00%

25.00%

27.00%

 

 

Nuclear

19.00%

19.00%

19.00%

19.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term Energy Outlook

 

Natural Gas Storage

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EIA Lower 48 Natural Gas Storage

 

 

 

 

01/22/21

 

 

 

1/16/26

1/9/26

Net Change

% Change

1/17/25

% Change

5 Year Avg.

% Change

 

 

East

632

664

-32

-4.82%

613

3.10%

628

0.57%

 

 

Midwest

752

790

-38

-4.81%

744

1.08%

752

-0.05%

 

 

Mountain

242

251

-9

-3.59%

229

5.68%

175

38.13%

 

 

Pacific

300

302

-2

-0.66%

269

11.52%

225

33.57%

 

 

South

1,139

1,178

-39

-3.31%

1,037

9.84%

1,009

12.86%

 

 

    Salt

343

355

-12

-3.38%

297

15.49%

289

18.85%

 

 

    Non_Salt

796

823

-27

-3.28%

739

7.71%

720

10.52%

 

 

Total

3,065

3,185

-120

-3.77%

2,892

5.98%

2,790

9.86%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Generation Additions/Retirements

 

 

  

 

Front Month Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Electricity

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

PJM West On Peak

Feb-26

$114.26

$126.52

-9.69%

-$12.26

$72.33

57.98%

$63.30

80.52%

 

 

ERCOT North On Peak

Feb-26

$60.05

$52.08

15.31%

$7.97

$54.68

9.82%

$68.38

-12.18%

 

 

CAISO SP 15 On Peak

Feb-26

$27.75

$31.85

-12.87%

-$4.10

$27.68

0.26%

$48.11

-42.32%

 

 

MISO Indiana On Peak

Feb-26

$97.66

$102.62

-4.83%

-$4.96

$54.00

80.85%

$53.63

82.11%

 

 

NEISO Mass On Peak

Feb-26

$198.92

$223.64

-11.05%

-$24.72

$137.07

45.12%

$114.16

74.25%

 

 

WECC Mid C On Peak

Feb-26

$36.94

$34.50

7.08%

$2.44

$34.01

8.61%

$76.05

-51.43%

 

 

NYISO Zone G On Peak

Feb-26

$204.93

$224.04

-8.53%

-$19.11

$119.51

71.47%

$90.53

126.38%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas & Basis

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

NYMEX Henry Hub

Mar-26

$3.732

$3.820

-2.30%

-$0.09

$3.36

11.01%

$3.80

-1.82%

 

 

Houston Ship Channel

Mar-26

-$0.564

-$0.494

14.15%

-$0.07

-$0.49

16.01%

-$0.40

42.59%

 

 

Chicago

Mar-26

$0.066

$0.123

85.80%

-$0.06

-$0.17

-139.08%

-$0.12

-154.08%

 

 

Waha

Mar-26

-$4.037

-$4.163

-3.03%

$0.13

-$3.47

16.41%

-$2.55

58.45%

 

 

Algonquin

Mar-26

$2.876

$3.174

-9.38%

-$0.30

$3.03

-5.03%

$2.01

43.04%

 

 

Aeco

Mar-26

-$2.477

-$1.954

26.73%

-$0.52

-$1.45

70.22%

-$1.96

26.32%

 

 

Socal

Mar-26

-$1.908

-$1.423

34.09%

-$0.49

-$0.97

96.75%

-$0.30

531.34%

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas Liquids

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane LST

Feb-26

$0.653

$0.653

0.00%

$0.00

$0.65

0.54%

$0.79

-16.96%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Propane non LST

Feb-26

$0.662

$0.652

1.50%

$0.01

$0.63

4.61%

$0.79

-15.89%

 

 

Mt. Belview Ethane

Feb-26

$0.265

$0.267

-0.83%

$0.00

$0.25

8.25%

$0.28

-6.58%

 

 

Mt. Belview Nat. Gasoline

Feb-26

$1.289

$1.285

0.31%

$0.00

$1.20

7.83%

$1.39

-6.97%

 

 

Mt. Belvieu Butane LST

Feb-26

$0.775

$0.769

0.77%

$0.01

$0.77

0.35%

$0.93

-16.38%

 

 

Far East Propane

Feb-26

$5.518

$5.431

1.59%

$0.09

$5.02

9.88%

$5.67

-2.68%

 

 

Saudi Propane

Feb-26

$5.381

$5.351

0.57%

$0.03

$5.03

6.87%

$5.44

-1.00%

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

WTI

Mar-26

$63.21

$62.39

1.30%

$0.82

$57.85

9.27%

$67.26

-6.02%

 

 

Brent

Mar-26

$67.57

$67.57

0.00%

$0.00

$61.49

9.89%

$70.99

-4.82%

 

 

WCS

Mar-26

-$14.68

-$15.60

-6.26%

$0.92

-$13.19

11.27%

-$17.05

-13.89%

 

 

LLS

Mar-26

$63.98

$63.41

0.89%

$0.57

$59.12

8.22%

$69.56

-8.02%

 

 

Mars

Mar-26

$60.45

$58.78

2.76%

$1.67

$55.98

7.98%

$67.06

-9.86%

 

 

Sour

Mar-26

$62.97

$62.36

0.97%

$0.61

$57.79

8.96%

$67.48

-6.67%

 

 

ESPO

Mar-26

$65.57

$65.57

0.00%

$0.00

$59.49

10.22%

$68.99

-4.96%

 

 

 

 

Refined Products

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

NY Heating Oil

Feb-26

$2.63

$2.64

-0.15%

$0.00

$2.13

23.50%

$2.26

16.66%

 

 

NY Gasoline

Feb-26

$1.89

$1.86

1.56%

$0.03

$1.73

9.19%

$1.92

-1.51%

 

 

GC Gasoline

Feb-26

$1.75

$1.72

1.69%

$0.03

$1.59

10.00%

$1.82

-3.80%

 

 

GC Jet

Feb-26

$2.23

$2.21

0.95%

$0.02

$1.92

16.07%

$2.10

6.49%

 

 

Chicago Ethanol

Feb-26

$1.62

$1.62

0.12%

$0.00

$1.60

1.37%

$1.65

-1.52%

 

 

Rotterdam Gasoil

Feb-26

$594.64

$588.02

1.13%

$6.62

$561.96

5.82%

$624.19

-4.73%

 

 

Singapore Jet Kero

Feb-26

$86.97

$83.78

3.81%

$3.19

$79.60

9.26%

$87.31

-0.39%

 

 

 

 

Implied Volatilities

 

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

Henry Hub Straddle

Mar-26

107.49%

109.72%

-2.03%

-2.23%

63.54%

69.17%

45.45%

136.50%

 

 

Algonquin Straddle

Mar-26

130.34%

131.20%

-0.66%

-0.86%

92.41%

41.05%

75.20%

73.32%

 

 

Waha Straddle

Mar-26

2067.41%

2506.25%

-17.51%

-438.84%

1844.87%

12.06%

98.67%

1995.28%

 

 

Chicago Straddle

Mar-26

121.98%

125.32%

-2.67%

-3.34%

66.00%

84.82%

49.54%

146.23%

 

 

PJM West Straddle

Mar-26

92.59%

68.01%

36.14%

24.58%

53.11%

74.34%

45.92%

101.63%

 

 

SP – 15 Straddle

Mar-26

254.72%

146.15%

74.29%

108.57%

169.94%

49.89%

241.28%

5.57%

 

 

Mid. C Straddle

Mar-26

180.03%

180.35%

-0.18%

-0.32%

42.13%

327.32%

76.06%

136.69%

 

 

 

 

Euro Gas and Power/LNG

 

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

Dutch TTF

Mar-26

EUR 36.91

EUR 38.18

-3.32%

-EUR 1.27

EUR 28.09

31.41%

EUR 41.40

-10.85%

 

 

NBP

Mar-26

GBP 90.23

GBP 93.98

-3.99%

-GBP 3.75

GBP 69.75

29.37%

GBP 108.85

-17.11%

 

 

German Base

Mar-26

EUR 99.84

EUR 100.59

-0.75%

-EUR 0.75

EUR 83.00

20.28%

EUR 94.29

5.88%

 

 

UK Base

Mar-26

GBP 87.45

GBP 89.52

-2.31%

-GBP 2.07

GBP 72.79

20.14%

GBP 88.20

-0.85%

 

 

French Base

Mar-26

EUR 74.77

EUR 76.02

-1.64%

-EUR 1.25

EUR 56.74

31.78%

EUR 76.55

-2.33%

 

 

Italian Base

Mar-26

EUR 124.21

EUR 126.28

-1.64%

-EUR 2.08

EUR 103.50

20.01%

EUR 114.42

8.55%

 

 

JKM LNG

Mar-26

$11.49

$11.57

-0.72%

-$0.08

$9.63

19.37%

$13.73

-16.33%

 

 

 

 

Freight Forwards (WET & DRY)

 

OTCGH/EOXLive Market Data

 

 

 

Contract

1/28/26

1/27/26

% Change

Change

12/29/25

% Change

1/28/25

% Change

 

 

TD3C FFA Middle East to China (WET)

Mar-26

$36.91

$38.18

-3.32%

-$1.27

$28.09

31.41%

$41.40

-10.85%

 

 

USGC-UK Continent Dirty (WET)

Mar-26

$90.23

$93.98

-3.99%

-$3.75

$69.75

29.37%

$108.85

-17.11%

 

 

TD20 West Africa to UK Continent (WET)

Mar-26

$99.84

$100.59

-0.75%

-$0.75

$83.00

20.28%

$94.29

5.88%

 

 

LPG FFA Middle East Gulf to East (WET)

Mar-26

$87.45

$89.52

-2.31%

-$2.07

$72.79

20.14%

$88.20

-0.85%

 

 

TC5 FFA Arabian Gulf to Japan (WET)

Mar-26

$74.77

$76.02

-1.64%

-$1.25

$56.74

31.78%

$76.55

-2.33%

 

 

Supramax Timecharter (DRY)

Mar-26

$124.21

$126.28

-1.64%

-$2.08

$103.50

20.01%

$114.42

8.55%

 

 

Capesize Timecharter (DRY)

Mar-26

$11.49

$11.57

-0.72%

-$0.08

$9.63

19.37%

$13.73

-16.33%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cooling Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

01/24/2026

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

0

0

0

0

0

0

NA

NA

 

 

Middle Atlantic

0

0

0

0

0

0

NA

NA

 

 

E N Central

0

0

0

0

0

0

NA

NA

 

 

W N Central

0

0

0

0

0

0

NA

NA

 

 

South Atlantic

4

-4

2

17

-9

12

NA

NA

 

 

E S Central

0

-2

0

0

-6

0

NA

NA

 

 

W S Central

0

-4

0

13

2

11

NA

NA

 

 

Mountain

0

0

0

0

0

0

NA

NA

 

 

Pacific

0

-1

0

0

-1

0

NA

NA

 

 

United States

1

-1

0

5

-2

4

NA

NA

 

 

 

 

Heating Degree Days

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

01/24/2026

Week Tot

Dev Norm

Dev L YR

Cum Tot

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

CumD Norm

CumD L YR

 

 

New England

304

20

-22

3,393

-32

184

-1.00%

6.00%

 

 

Middle Atlantic

305

41

-16

3,027

-59

186

-2.00%

7.00%

 

 

E N Central

373

77

2

3,345

-137

194

-4.00%

6.00%

 

 

W N Central

382

67

-8

3,275

-503

-71

-13.00%

-2.00%

 

 

South Atlantic

164

18

-39

1,510

-72

-46

-5.00%

-3.00%

 

 

E S Central

218

32

-52

1,843

-207

-49

-10.00%

-3.00%

 

 

W S Central

149

15

-65

1,010

-360

-156

-26.00%

-13.00%

 

 

Mountain

205

-8

-67

2,184

-707

-391

-24.00%

-15.00%

 

 

Pacific

99

-26

-28

1,278

-418

-222

-25.00%

-15.00%

 

 

United States

234

26

-30

2,209

-243

-27

-10.00%

-1.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas * Power * NGL * Crude * Products * Vol * Freight * Spreads – Charts

 

 

 

 

 

Weather Forecast & Seasonal Outlook

 

 

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