PDF Attached

 

Soybeans
were supported by higher soybean meal while other agriculture commodity markets fell on lack of bullish news. 

 

September
7 (Monday) US holiday trading schedule in excel format

https://bit.ly/3jBe9kw

 

 

Weather
and Crop Progress

 

U.S. Drought Monitor Change Map

MOST
IMPORTANT WEATHER AROUND THE WORLD

  • Typhoon
    Maysak moved across the Korean Peninsula Wednesday and early today producing damaging wind and flooding rain
    • Initial
      reports from the region are as expected with widespread power outages, considerable property damage and a few deaths in southern South Korea
    • Flooding
      has been the biggest issue in eastern North Korea with more than 9.00 inches falling over saturated soil in a short period of time
      • Rice
        damage has likely occurred along with other impacts on crops in both North and South Korea
    • Remnants
      of Maysak will bring on some flooding in northeastern China today and Friday with 2.00 to 7.00 inches of fresh rain falling over saturated soil in Jilin, Liaoning and eastern Inner Mongolia
      • Corn
        and soybean crops are not expected to be seriously impacted, although the region is excessively wet and delays in crop maturation and harvesting are inevitable, especially with Typhoon Haishen headed into the same region for early next week
  • Typhoon
    Haishen will become a super typhoon Friday and reach wind speeds of nearly 150 mph over open water south of the Ryukyu Islands of Japan Saturday
    • Haishen
      was 646 miles east southeast of Okinawa, Japan at 20.9 north, 137.2 east moving northwesterly at 11 mph and producing maximum wind speeds to 109 mph
    • The
      storm will pass to the west of Kyushu, Japan Sunday and reach southern South Korea Sunday into Monday.
      • The
        storm may make landfall very near to the same point that Typhoon Maysak moved inland Wednesday and the path northward will be very similar impacting South and North Korea as well as northeastern China in a very similar manner
        • Two
          storms back to back of this intensity impacting the same areas is very rare and will have a huge impact on all three countries
  • Both
    tropical cyclones noted above will dissipate over northeastern China where 4.00 to 12.00 inches of total rain may occur by Tuesday of next week that will result in serious flooding and some new crop and property damage from Liaoning into eastern Inner Mongolia,
    Jilin and Heilongjiang
    • Corn
      and soybeans should be maturing with some harvesting of corn usually under way at this time of year
      • Too
        much rain in recent weeks and that which is coming through early next week will further delay harvest progress and flooding could raise concern over the quality of soybeans, sugarbeets and any other crop produced in the region.
    • East-central
      China has been and will continue to benefit from net drying conditions through much of next week
    • Southern
      China will experience increasing rain and thunderstorm activity next week, but the precipitation will be greatest in southwestern China through the weekend
    • Xinjiang,
      China will see a mix of weather during the next week that will support late season crop development, but some rain may raise a little concern over cotton fiber quality, but only in a few areas
  • Tropical
    Storm Nana has moved into Belize and will produce heavy rain and flooding from there into Guatemala and southern Chiapas, Mexico
    • The
      storm will also produce heavy rain in southern Veracruz and Oaxaca, Mexico over the next couple of days
    • Remnants
      of the system will move into the eastern Pacific Ocean Friday
    • Flooding
      rain will cause some landslides and may induce some crop and property damage in each of the areas noted above
  • Tropical
    Depression Omar and was well east of the U.S. this morning and northeast of Bermuda moving east away from North America
    • The
      storm will slowly diminish over the next two days and will pose no threat to land and be a minimal threat to shipping
  • Tropical
    Wave coming off the Africa west-central coast today will possibly become the next tropical depression, but it will stay over open water in the Atlantic for much of the next week without threatening land
  • Cold
    air is advertised in North America early through mid-week next week that may induce some frost and freezes
    • Frost
      and a few some freezes will occur Monday in northern Saskatchewan and northwestern Manitoba – damage to crops is possible, but unlikely to be very serious
    • Frost
      and light freezes Tuesday will occur in the northwestern U.S. Plains across southern and eastern parts of Saskatchewan to Manitoba, Canada
      • Crop
        damage in the Prairies will be low except for a few corn, soybean and flax crops in Manitoba and eastern Saskatchewan where some negative impact is expected since crops are not mature
      • Late
        season canola in eastern Canada will be less impacted
      • Crop
        damage in the northwestern U.S. Plains should be quite low if not minimal
    • Frost
      and light freezes Wednesday and Thursday of next week may occur from western and a few central Nebraska locations to Montana and the eastern Dakotas as well as parts of Minnesota
      • Most
        of the lowest temperatures will be in the 30s which should limit crop damage if that is as cold as it gets; however, some upper 20s will be possible near the surface high pressure center over western Nebraska
        • Some
          damage to immature corn and soybeans might occur in the far northwestern Corn Belt, but losses would be low and most of the impact would be on quality, but the event is nearly a week away which leaves plenty of potential for change and the situation will need
          to be closely monitored
    • Some
      soft frost will occur in southeastern Colorado and western Kansas with low temperatures in the middle and upper 30s in the Texas Panhandle during mid-week next week
      • Low
        temperatures in west Texas will fall to the 40s after highs are in the 90s during the weekend
        • Some
          cotton boll lock might occur, but the cold should not last long enough to be a serious threat.
  • Argentina’s
    rainfall this week did not occur in the driest wheat areas, but some improved topsoil moisture has occurred in east-central and northeastern parts of the nation
    • Rainfall
      overnight reached over 2.00 inches near the city of Buenos Aires while rainfall of 0.05 to 0.70 inch occurred in the remaining northeast half of the province
    • Rainfall
      elsewhere varied from 0.05 to 0.57 inch some of that occurring in Santa Fe and Entre Rios where two-day rain totals have provided a short-term bout of relief from dryness
  • Argentina
    rain chances are improving for September 13-16, although confidence is low; the event might be generalized enough to offer greater relief from persistent dryness in parts of the west, but the event is too far out in time to have high confidence
  • Mexico
    rainfall will be greatest in western and southeastern parts of the nation in the coming week
    • Some
      flooding is possible, although the greatest risk of flooding will be from the remnants of Tropical Storm Nana as it moves from Belize to Chiapas, Mexico
    • Some
      flooding rain will also fall indirectly from the tropical storm over southern Veracruz and in Oaxaca where rainfall of 4.00 to 6.00 inches and locally more than a10.00 inches may result
  • Dryness
    remains in Queensland, Australia and that may harm winter crop reproduction in the next two weeks
    • Frost
      and freeze damage already impacted the crop last week
  • Most
    of Australia’s rain will fall in southern most parts of the nation during the next ten days and the moisture will be good where it occurs, but drying in interior South Australia and northern parts of Western Australia is worrying some wheat and barley producers
  • India’s
    monsoon will begin to withdraw next week
  • Rain
    in northern India over the next several days will raise more concern over open boll cotton quality, but the moisture will be good for future winter crop use
  • Heavy
    rain Gujarat, India and Sindh, Pakistan ended earlier this week and the area is drying down favorably
    • The
      drying trend will continue over the next week
  • Ivory
    Coast and Ghana rainfall will slowly increase in the next two weeks, but near term rainfall will be sporadic and light
  • France
    and parts of Germany are going to remain dry biased for the next ten days
  • Drought
    will prevail in central and eastern Ukraine into Bulgaria and from eastern Ukraine into Russia’s Southern Region and western Kazakhstan
  • South
    Africa rainfall began to increase Wednesday and it will continue today and Friday
    • The
      moisture will offer a little relief for the dry areas in western and central wheat and barley production areas; more rain will be needed
  • Brazil
    weather will remain wettest from southeastern Parana into Rio Grande do Sul and Uruguay during the coming week; the moisture will be good for winter crops
  • Ontario
    and Quebec will experience a good mix of rain and sunshine over the next two weeks; some drying will be needed thereafter to induce better crop maturation and harvest conditions
  • Central
    America rainfall will be frequent and significant
  • Central
    through northeastern Europe will be wettest this week with periods of rain continuing to maintain moisture abundance and a good environment for crop development, but drying is needed to mature crops
  • Southeast
    Europe will be dry biased over the coming ten days to two weeks
    • Areas
      from central and eastern Ukraine to central and eastern Bulgaria will see very little rainfall and temperatures will be warmer than usual
      • Faster
        than usual crop maturation and harvest progress is expected this year as long as rainfall stays limited
  • Russia’s
    far eastern New Lands will continue to experience some brief periods of drizzle and light rain over the coming week to ten days
    • Most
      of the precipitation will be very light, but there is some concern over unharvested small grain and sunseed quality
    • Dry
      and warm weather is needed to induce the best maturation and harvest conditions
  • A
    favorable mix of weather will occur over the next ten days in other western CIS locations, but net drying will continue in central and eastern Ukraine, Russia’s Southern Region and western Kazakhstan
    • Temperatures
      will be very warm to hot in this region as well
  • Indonesia
    rainfall continues erratic
    • Central
      and southern Sumatra has been steadily drying recently and needs significant rain
      • Some
        showers and thunderstorms have been noted in the past day or two, but more rain is needed
    • Java
      is also quite dry, but some of that dryness is seasonal
    • Rainfall
      over the next ten days will continue erratic, but at least some rain will fall in each production area at one time or another
    • Rain
      is needed most in parts of Sumatra and western Java
  • Philippines
    weather has been trending a little drier recently and this trend may continue through the weekend and then greater rain may begin to evolve
  • Mainland
    Southeast Asia is getting enough rain to support summer crops, but there is a growing concern over off season water supply since summer rainfall has not been as great as needed to restore those supplies
    • Wednesday’s
      rainfall was a bit too erratic and light resulting in net drying conditions
  • New
    Zealand rainfall will be erratically distributed for a while and temperatures will be a little cooler biased
  • Southern
    Oscillation Index was +10.72 today and it will continue positive with the recent rise slowly leveling off for a while

Source:
World Weather Inc. 

 

Much
of the rain for the Upper Midwest will occur mid next week

 

Bloomberg
Ag Calendar

THURSDAY,
SEPT. 3:

  • USDA
    weekly crop net-export sales for corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, pork, beef, 8:30am
  • FAO
    World Food Price Index
  • Port
    of Rouen data on French grain exports
  • New
    Zealand commodity price

FRIDAY,
SEPT. 4:

  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report, 1:30pm (6:30pm London)
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm
  • CNGOIC’s
    monthly supply-demand report on Chinese feed grains and oilseeds
  • FranceAgriMer
    weekly update on crop conditions
  • Statcan’s
    data on Canada wheat, barley, soy, canola and durum stocks
  • HOLIDAY:
    Thailand

MONDAY,
Sept. 7:

  • China
    trade data on soybean and meat imports