PDF Attached

 

Bear
spreading was a feature for many of the CBOT agriculture markets. WTI crude oil was lower at around 1 pm CT and the USD higher. We saw a higher trade for soybeans from a lower than estimated Brazil production estimate. Meal was lower in part to long liquidation
ahead of a major index commodity fund roll. Soybean oil rebounded from a reversal in product spreading. Corn was higher following soybeans while wheat was lower after good rains soaked some key winter wheat areas earlier in the week.

 

 

https://www.conab.gov.br/info-agro/safras/graos/boletim-da-safra-de-graos

 

Weather

Map

Description automatically generated

 

World
Weather Inc.

WEATHER
EVENTS AND FEATURES TO WATCH

  • Concern
    over U.S. spring planting progress will remain for the lower eastern Midwest, Delta and Tennessee River Basin due to bouts of rain and mild to cool temperatures
    • Some
      welcome and significant warming is expected during the late weekend into early next week that will offer a small window for “some” planting
      • Rain
        returns a little too quickly for good field progress
    • GFS
      Ensemble forecast temperatures for the next two weeks suggests another bout or two of colder than usual conditions are likely in the central and interior eastern U.S. in the second week of the  outlook
      • Returning
        cooler air will slow down drying rates once again
  • Far
    southeastern U.S. rainfall is expected to diminish greatly from where it has been recently
    • Florida,
      southern Georgia, southeastern Alabama and South Carolina will see less frequent and less significant rainfall during the next two weeks
      • Fieldwork
        will advance swiftly especially after recent rainfall
  • Western
    and southern Texas will continue quite dry in the next seven days with West Texas high Plains likely to continue that way in the second week of the forecast
    • Some
      rain showers may occur briefly in the Low and Rolling Plains of western Texas next week, but resulting rainfall should not be great enough for a lasting  increase in soil moisture
    • Southern
      Texas (i.e. Coastal Bend and interior southern parts of the state) will have a chance for rain in the second half of next week and continuing into the following  weekend
      • No
        general soaking is likely, but there will  be some increase in topsoil moisture to benefit dryland cotton, corn and sorghum
  • Western
    portions of U.S. hard red winter wheat production areas will continue with little to no rainfall over the next two weeks
    • The
      longer range outlook keeps this region in a direr than usual mode for a while longer
  • U.S.
    northwestern Plains may get some beneficial rain and/or snow during mid-week next week.
    • The
      moisture could greatly improve topsoil moisture for better spring planting  conditions
    • A
      second storm system “may” evolve during the following weekend favoring southeastern Montana into South Dakota and southern North Dakota
    • If
      both storm systems occur as advertised spring planting conditions for oats and other early season crops should improve
  • Southwestern
    Canada’s Prairies will see some sporadic rain and snowfall over the next ten days maintaining worry over drought status and spring planting prospects
    • World
      Weather, Inc. is expecting a general improving trend for the region from late spring through summer.
  • U.S.
    Pacific Northwest will experience some increasing precipitation in the next two weeks and that could translate into better spring planting and dryland planting potentials
  • California’s
    Sierra Nevada will get some snow and rain Monday into Tuesday of next week and gain April 15-16.
    • The 
      precipitation should prove to be helpful for spring runoff, but mountain snowpack and snow water equivalency will remain well below average
  • Brazil
    weather will continue too wet in the  interior far south into early next week, but rainfall after that should be more limited and sufficient warming should occur to induce better crop and field working conditions
  • Mato
    Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul will experience net drying into early next week
    • Timely
      rainfall during mid- to late-week next week should increase topsoil moisture for a short bout of time
    • Net
      drying will resume in the  second weekend of the two week outlook
  • Brazil’s
    monsoon moisture will be withdrawing from the central and southern crop areas of the nation next week
    • The
      occurrence is considered to be normal
    • Safrinha
      and late season summer crops will rely on subsoil moisture for continued summer crop development
      • The
        outlook for Safrinha crops remains very good through mid-April and probably in late month as well, despite seasonal drying over time
  • Argentina
    will experience a good mix of weather during the next two weeks.
    • Late
      season crops will continue to have favorable soil moisture to support crops throughout the next two weeks
  • Europe
    is expected to turn briefly drier and a little warmer next week which may help reverse the recent trend of wet and cool biased conditions
    • The
      change should help get soil temperatures to rise again after this week’s recent bouts of frost and freezes
    • Fieldwork
      and early season crop development may be a little behind normal after this recent bout of cool and wet weather
    • A
      new bout of cooler than usual temperatures and rainfall  may evolve after mid-month
  • Russia
    weather is likely to remain quite active with frequent bouts of rain and snow in the west and  north while the Southern Region is a little drier biased for a while
    • Melting
      snow and frequent bouts of new rain and snow have many northwestern crop areas in the nation very wet
      • Flood
        potentials are high and drier weather is needed to avoid a more serious bout of flooding
    • Russia’s 
      southern region will get some welcome precipitation during mid-week next week
  • Rain
    will fall frequently and abundantly near and north of the Amazon River into Colombia, Venezuela and Ecuador during the next ten days
    • Rain
      will also fall frequently in Peru
    • Some
      flooding could impact a part of  the  Amazon River System and Colombia in time
  • Temperatures
    in South America will be near to above normal over the coming week and then cooler in central and southern Argentina and southern Brazil next week
  • Two
    tropical cyclones are predicted in the Eastern Hemisphere late this week and one will bring the risk of flooding and high wind speeds to the Philippines
    • Two
      storms will develop late this week
      • One
        in the  South China Sea
      • One
        in the southwestern Pacific Ocean east of the Philippines
    • A
      third disturbance is expected in the Bay of Bengal during the weekend, but it seems to have lost its support for development
    • The
      South China Sea and Pacific Ocean storms will reach maturity at about the same time late in this coming weekend and early next week
      • The
        largest storm will be over open water in the Pacific Ocean and should not threaten land
        • There
          may actually be two storms in the  Pacific Ocean, but both events are expected to move away from the Philippines and Asia without having influence on land
      • The
        storm in the South China sea may impact the central or northern Philippines during the middle to later part of next week resulting in some flooding rain, but confidence on when and where landfall occurs is not high
      • The
        disturbance in the Bay of Bengal is not advertised to threaten land, but it should be closely monitored
  • Quebec
    and Ontario, Canada weather will be active over the next ten days producing frequent rain and keeping temperatures mild to cool
  • Northwestern
    Africa and  southwestern parts of Europe have turned drier, but more rain is expected during the middle to latter part of next week
    • The
      moisture will be greatest in northern Morocco, northeastern Algeria and northern Tunisia.
  • India’s
    harvest weather will be very good over the next couple of weeks
    • Precipitation
      will be limited to sporadic showers in the far south and more generalized rain in the far  Eastern States
  • Southeastern
    China will be dry biased through the weekend
    • The
      break from rainy weather has already been great and the continued trend will further improve rapeseed development and early season corn and rice planting conditions throughout the  south
      • Improvements
        to many crops and field working conditions are likely
      • Temperatures
        will trend warmer, as well
    • Alternating
      periods of rain and sunshine are expected next week through April 20.
  • Northern
    wheat areas of China will experience some warmer weather this week that may stimulate some greater crop development potential
    • Rain
      is expected early next week briefly to help stimulate greater winter crop development
  • Mexico’s
    winter dryness and drought have been expanding due to poor precipitation resulting from persistent La Nina
    • The
      region will continue lacking precipitation for an expected period of time
    • Eastern
      and southern Mexico will be seasonably dry this week and will only receive sporadic rainfall of limited significance this weekend and next week
  • Southeast
    Asia rainfall will continue frequent and abundant
    • No
      area in the  mainland areas, Philippines, Indonesia or Malaysia are expected to be too dry
    • Too
      much rain may impact east-central Philippines and a part of the northern Malay Peninsula this week
      • Some
        heavy rain was already noted Tuesday in the  central Malay Peninsula
  • East-central
    Africa rainfall will continue greatest in Tanzania, although parts of Uganda and Kenya will get rain periodically as well.
    • Ethiopia
      rainfall should be most sporadic and light until next week when some increase is expected
  • West-central
    Africa rainfall will continue periodically and sufficient to support coffee and cocoa development
    • Rainfall
      so far this month has been a little sporadic, but no area has been seriously dry biased
      • Pockets
        in Ivory Coast and western Ghana have received less than usual rain, but crop development has advanced well
    • Rain
      frequency and intensity should increase in many areas this weekend through all of next week
  • Western
    Australia is trending drier this week after abundant rain last week
    • Winter
      crop planting is still a few weeks away and some rain will  be needed again before planting begins
  • Eastern
    Australia precipitation is expected to be slowly increase today into  Friday with New South Wales wetter than Queensland through the weekend 
    • Irrigated
      late season sorghum and other crops will continue to develop favorably
      • Some
        of the dryland crop that is still immature still needs greater moisture
    • Rain
      should not seriously harm fiber quality in open boll cotton, although any rain is not welcome at this time of year
    • Drier
      weather is expected next week and it should prevail for a week
  • South
    Africa rainfall over the next couple of weeks will be periodic and sufficient enough to support late season crop development while the impact on mature crops should be to slow harvest progress and raise a little crop quality concern for cotton
  • Today’s
    Southern Oscillation Index is +11.60 
    • The
      index will continue moving higher for the next few days
  • Central
    America precipitation will be greatest along the Caribbean Coast during the next seven to ten days and in both Panama and Costa Rica
    • Guatemala
      will also get some showers periodically

Source:
World Weather Inc.

 

Bloomberg
Ag Calendar

Friday,
April 8:

  • FAO
    World Food Price Index
  • USDA’s
    monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand (WASDE) report, 12pm
  • China’s
    agriculture ministry (CASDE) releases monthly report on supply and demand for corn and soybeans
  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm
  • FranceAgriMer
    weekly update on crop conditions

Source:
Bloomberg and FI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Macros

85
Counterparties Take $1.734 Tln At Fed Reverse Repo Op (prev $1.731 Tln, 86 Bids)

US
Initial Jobless Claims Apr 2: 166K (est 200K; prev 202K)

US
Continuing Claims Mar 26: 1523K (est 1302K; prev 1307K)

 

Corn

·        
US corn futures started lower on favorable US planting progress and welcome precipitation across the eastern Corn Belt but turned higher after soybeans made another leg higher.

·        
May corn settled 1.25 cents higher and December was up 4.25 cents. 

·        
Slowing US corn sales and lower wheat likely limited gains. 

·        
US CIF corn was 2-8 cents softer today for the nearby positions. 

·        
Fundamentals have little changed. 

·        
The November soybean / December corn ratio is still near its contract low, currently around 2.06. Some traders earlier this week noted some corn acres were bought back.

·        
On Monday we look for USDA to report US corn plantings at 4 percent complete, up from 2 percent as of last Sunday. 

·        
The US EPA announced decisions on refineries that were seeking exemptions to biofuel blending mandates. 36 petitions were denied for the 2018 compliance year.  The EPA will provide 31 of those refineries with another avenue to
seek relief, without purchasing credits to show compliance with the law. Before this announcement, about 69 requests were pending.  The refineries will still need to file compliance reports even though they won’t be forced to also submit biofuel credits, according
to a Bloomberg story.

·        
USDA corn export sales were ok, with 782,400 tons reported for 2021-22.

 

Export
developments.

·        
None reported

 

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Updated
4/5/22

May
corn is seen in a $7.10 and $8.10 range

December
corn is seen in a wide $5.50-$8.00 range

 

Soybeans

·        
CBOT soybeans were higher from a lower than estimated Brazil soybean production estimate and expectations US export demand for soybeans and products to remain robust over the next several months.  We saw a good amount of selling
in soybean meal, in part to long liquidation ahead of index contract rolls. Funds are net long an estimated net 121,800 for soybean meal after today. Soybean oil was higher from a reversal in product spreading.  The weakness in spot meal eroded May CBOT crush
margins.

·        
Conab reported Brazil soybean production at 122.4 million tons, 1.8 million below an average trade estimate. The number was expected to increase, but ended up 300,000 tons below the previous month, catching traders off guard.
Year ago, production was around 138 million tons. 

·        
Argentina’s BA Grains Exchange warned soybean production could fall below their current estimate of 42 million tons due to recent early frost events. 

·        
US soybean meal basis was mostly flat across the US. CIF slightly eased.

·        
Consultancy Datagro noted Brazil soybean sales by producers reached 68.8 million tons out of the 125.1 million production projection, or 55 percent, as of April 1. That percentage would be down from 71.5% year ago.  New crop sales
(2022-23) for the upcoming crop (planted this fall) were 6.9%, below 8.4% year ago. That tells us some producers are still making up their mind for new crop plantings. 

 

Export
Developments

·        
China was to auction off 500,000 tons of imported soybeans today.

  • Later
    today USDA seeks 2,710 tons of packaged oil for May shipment (May 23-June 13 for plants at posts).

 

Due
out April 11

 

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Updated
4/5/22

Soybeans
– May $15.50-$17.50

Soybeans
– November is seen in a wide $12.75-$15.50 range

Soybean
meal – May $430-$500

Soybean
oil – May 69.00-7
3.50

 

Wheat

·        
US wheat futures were lower after rain fell across parts of Texas and some other key winter wheat states earlier this week. The outlook for the US winter wheat area still calls for net drying for the southern Great Plains. But
next week when USDA updates their crop ratings, we look for a one point improvement in the combined good and excellent condition to 31 percent, bias an increase in Midwestern states and Texas.

·        
May Paris wheat futures were up 0.25 euro at 363.75 euros.

·        
StoneX estimates Brazil will produce a record wheat crop, above 10 million tons, as the planted area was expected to expand nearly 21 percent.  We think the drastic switch relates to higher global wheat prices, record fertilizer
inputs, and less dependency on Argentina wheat imports. 

 

Last
7-days

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Export
Developments.

·        
The Philippines bought an estimated 50,000 tons of feed wheat for Aug. shipment at about $365 to $370/ton c&f.

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of milling wheat for LH May and/or through July shipment on April 13.

·        
Japan bought 137,516 tons of food wheat this week for June through August loading.  Original tender details as follows:

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of feed barley on April 12.

·        
Bangladesh seeks 50,000 tons of wheat on April 11 for shipment within 40 days after contract signing.

 

Rice/Other

·        
(Bloomberg) —

•    
U.S. 2021-22 cotton ending stocks seen at 3.54m bales, slightly above USDA’s previous est.,

according
to the avg in a Bloomberg survey of nine analysts.

•    
Estimates range from 3.2m to 4m bales

•    
Global ending stocks seen at 82.64m bales vs 82.57m bales in March

 

Chart, line chart

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Updated
4/5/22

Chicago
May $9.25 to $12.00 range, December $8.50-$11.00

KC
May $9.25 to $12.00 range, December $8.75-$11.50

MN
May $10.00‐$12.00, December $9.00-$11.75

 

 

 

 

U.S. EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING  3/31/2022

 

CURRENT MARKETING YEAR

NEXT MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

WEEKLY EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED EXPORTS

NET SALES

OUTSTANDING SALES

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR
AGO

CURRENT YEAR

YEAR
AGO

 

THOUSAND METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   HRW    

72.5

1,451.3

1,271.8

43.5

6,096.0

7,276.1

13.6

404.0

   SRW    

14.7

459.0

301.3

71.8

2,314.3

1,493.6

37.5

457.0

   HRS     

57.4

934.7

1,408.1

143.0

4,357.4

6,140.9

118.4

491.1

   WHITE   

11.2

475.9

1,804.2

47.7

2,864.1

4,817.8

38.5

261.1

   DURUM  

0.4

15.5

80.1

3.9

173.9

592.1

15.0

64.4

     TOTAL

156.3

3,336.4

4,865.5

309.8

15,805.7

20,320.5

223.0

1,677.6

BARLEY

0.0

5.7

5.5

0.0

14.7

23.7

0.4

8.6

CORN

782.4

20,623.3

30,512.1

1,633.0

33,813.3

35,971.0

145.2

2,570.8

SORGHUM

-10.5

2,672.0

2,396.7

236.8

4,077.6

3,990.3

0.0

0.0

SOYBEANS

800.7

11,765.0

5,587.3

832.8

44,377.7

55,084.9

298.5

8,463.3

SOY MEAL

66.2

2,915.5

2,354.9

237.8

6,306.1

6,709.2

0.0

337.4

SOY OIL

6.2

142.1

115.9

50.2

497.5

539.0

0.0

0.0

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   L G RGH

-9.1

159.3

317.2

58.9

1,000.9

1,106.3

0.0

0.0

   M S RGH

0.0

3.3

5.3

0.0

10.9

23.5

0.0

0.0

   L G BRN

0.1

16.4

17.8

0.2

33.7

34.4

0.0

0.0

   M&S BR

0.0

43.9

69.0

0.1

42.5

85.1

0.0

0.0

   L G MLD

16.4

69.2

49.8

19.0

592.7

457.0

0.0

0.0

   M S MLD

0.8

237.9

258.7

2.2

263.1

382.0

0.0

0.0

     TOTAL

8.3

530.0

718.0

80.3

1,943.7

2,088.4

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

62.9

7,181.2

5,003.7

455.5

7,078.9

9,843.3

64.4

2,528.5

   PIMA

6.6

150.5

233.4

12.2

294.8

513.4

7.4

30.5

 

 

This
summary is based on reports from exporters for the period March 25-31, 2022.

Wheat:  Net
sales of 156,300 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 65 percent from the previous week, but down 11 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Indonesia (55,000 MT), Taiwan (41,700 MT), Italy (20,000 MT), Mexico (18,000 MT, including
decreases of 200 MT), and Thailand (15,100 MT, including 13,000 MT switched from the Philippines and decreases of 400 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Guatemala (15,000 MT) and the Philippines (9,700 MT).  Net sales of 223,000 MT for 2022/2023
were primarily for unknown destinations (75,000 MT), the Philippines (59,500 MT), Mexico (41,000 MT), South Korea (30,000 MT), and the Dominican Republic (10,000 MT).  Exports of 309,800 MT were down 11 percent from the previous week and 8 percent from the
prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to the Philippines (88,300 MT), Mexico (80,900 MT), Taiwan (36,600 MT), Nigeria (29,100 MT), and Thailand (26,600 MT). 

Corn: 
Net sales of 782,400 MT for 2021/2022 were up 23 percent from the previous week, but down 44 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (261,000 MT, including 32,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 47,300
MT), Japan (216,000 MT, including 143,100 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 4,100 MT), South Korea (192,100 MT, including 133,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 6,100 MT), Saudi Arabia (157,000 MT, including 147,000
MT switched from unknown destinations), and Spain (64,100 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 1,800 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (199,800 MT).  Net sales of 145,200 MT for 2022/2023
were reported for unknown destinations (136,000 MT) and Canada (9,200 MT).  Exports of 1,633,000 MT were down 13 percent from the previous week, but up 2 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (458,700 MT), Mexico
(328,100 MT), Japan (180,000 MT), Saudi Arabia (157,000 MT), and South Korea (122,900 MT). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, new optional origin sales of 67,500 MT were reported for unknown destinations (65,000 MT) and Italy (2,500 MT).  Options were exercised to export 65,000 MT to South Korea from other than the United States.  The current
outstanding balance of 533,300 MT is for unknown destinations (365,000 MT), South Korea (65,000 MT), Morocco (60,000 MT), Italy (34,300 MT), and Saudi Arabia (9,000 MT).  For 2022/2023, new optional origin sales of 2,500 MT were reported for Italy.  The current
outstanding balance of 6,400 MT is for Italy.

Barley: 
Total net sales of 400 MT for 2021/2022 were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destination was Japan.  No exports were reported for the week.

Sorghum: 
Total net sales reductions of 10,500 MT for 2021/2022 were down 35 percent from the previous week and down noticeably from the prior 4-week average.  The reductions include decreases of 13,100 MT for China.  Exports of 236,800 MT were down 30 percent from
the previous week and 11 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were to China (236,300 MT) and Mexico (500 MT).

Rice: 
Net sales of 8,300 MT for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down 51 percent from the previous week and 81 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (13,700 MT), Haiti (7,300 MT), Jordan (4,000 MT), the Dominican Republic (2,000
MT), and Honduras (1,500 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Colombia (22,000 MT).  Exports of 80,300 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 98 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (32,700
MT), Colombia (22,300 MT), Haiti (15,300 MT), El Salvador (4,100 MT), and Canada (2,000 MT).

Soybeans: 
Net sales of 800,700 MT for 2021/2022 were down 39 percent from the previous week and 38 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (435,700 MT, including 66,000 MT switched from unknown destinations, decreases of 2,300 MT, and 67,000
MT – late), Egypt (154,000 MT, including 50,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 7,100 MT), Canada (73,000 MT), unknown destinations (31,600 MT), and Mexico (29,600 MT, including decreases of 1,700 MT), were offset by reductions for Indonesia
(7,500 MT).  Net sales of 298,500 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for Mexico (208,000 MT), unknown destinations (65,000 MT), and Japan (25,500 MT).  Exports of 832,800 MT were up 24 percent from the previous week and 20 percent from the prior 4-week average. 
The destinations were primarily to China (458,800 MT, including 67,000 MT – late), Egypt (156,000 MT), Mexico (74,300 MT), Japan (36,700 MT), and Indonesia (36,200 MT).  

Export
for Own Account:

For 2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 3,000 MT, all Canada.

Late
Reporting:

For 2021/2022, net sales and exports totaling 67,000 MT of soybeans were reported late. The destination was China.

Soybean
Cake and Meal:
 
Net sales of 66,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 36 percent from the previous week and 68 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Colombia (26,200 MT, including 21,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 1,900 MT),
Mexico (16,500 MT), the Dominican Republic (9,500 MT), Japan (7,900 MT), and Jamaica (6,500 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (21,000 MT) and Guatemala (6,000 MT).  Exports of 237,800 MT were unchanged from the previous week,
but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to the Philippines (101,200 MT), Colombia (31,200 MT), Mexico (28,200 MT), Guatemala (15,100 MT), and the Dominican Republic (13,900 MT).

Soybean
Oil:
 
Net sales of 6,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 80 percent from the previous week and 63 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for South Korea (24,000 MT, including 20,000 MT switched from unknown destinations) and Hong Kong (2,000 MT),
were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (20,000 MT).  Exports of 50,200 MT–a marketing-year high–were up noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to India (31,100 MT), South
Korea (13,000 MT), El Salvador (2,900 MT), Guatemala (2,600 MT), and Canada (400 MT).

Cotton: 
Net sales of 62,900 RB for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down 73 percent from the previous week and 80 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Vietnam (42,100 RB, including 1,600 RB switched from China, 900 RB switched from
South Korea, 200 RB switched from Japan, and decreases of 2,500 RB), Turkey (23,700 RB), Colombia (5,600 RB), Japan (5,200 RB, including 400 RB switched from Indonesia and decreases of 300 RB), and India (2,800 RB, including decreases of 8,800 RB), were offset
by reductions primarily for China (23,900 RB) and Pakistan (3,600 RB).  Net sales of 64,400 RB for 2022/2023 were primarily for Turkey (26,400 RB), Guatemala (11,400 RB), Mexico (10,400 RB), Vietnam (10,200 RB), and Thailand (2,700 RB).  Exports of 455,500
RB–a marketing-year high–were up 38 percent from the previous week and 28 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (171,300 RB), Turkey (75,400 RB), Pakistan (69,600 RB), Vietnam (38,800 RB), and Mexico (20,600 RB). 
Net sales of Pima totaling 6,600 RB were down 11 percent from the previous week, but up 13 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for China (4,400 RB), India (1,800 RB), and Indonesia (400 RB).  Total net sales of 7,400 RB for 2022/2023
were for India.  Exports of 12,200 RB were up 1 percent from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to India (6,000 RB), Peru (1,800 RB), China (1,300 RB), Thailand (900 RB), and Greece (600 RB). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, the current outstanding balance of 57,200 RB is for Vietnam (52,800 RB) and Pakistan (4,400 RB). 

Exports
for Own Account:
For
2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 RB, all Vietnam.

Hides
and Skins:
 
Net sales of 452,900 pieces for 2022 were up 36 percent from the previous week and 17 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (219,000 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 17,300 pieces), Thailand (74,900 whole cattle hides,
including decreases of 1,000 pieces), Brazil (47,400 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 400 pieces), Mexico (36,100 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 800 pieces), and South Korea (28,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 1,000 pieces),
were offset by reductions for Indonesia (300 pieces).  Total net sales of 2,100 calf skins were for Italy.  In addition, net sales of 10,800 kip skins were reported for Italy (8,000 kip skins) and Belgium (2,800 kip skins). Exports of 470,300 pieces were down
6 percent from the previous week, but up 1 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Whole cattle hides exports were primarily to China (284,000 pieces), South Korea (57,600 pieces), Thailand (46,900 pieces), Mexico (25,900 pieces), and Taiwan (21,500 pieces).

Net
sales of 85,700 wet blues for 2022 were up 8 percent from the previous week, but down 40 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for Italy (40,400 unsplit and 11,000 grain splits, including decreases of 100 unsplit and 400 grain splits),
Taiwan (13,600 unsplit), the Dominican Republic (12,600 unsplit and 200 grain splits, including decreases of 100 unsplit), and Vietnam (10,400 unsplit, including decreases of 100 unsplit),

were offset by reductions for Brazil (1,100 unsplit), Japan (900 unsplit), and China (500 unsplit).  Exports of 203,900 wet blues were up 13 percent from the previous week and 26 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Vietnam
(71,300 unsplit), Italy (48,500 unsplit and 18,700 grain splits), China (29,900 unsplit), Hong Kong (17,900 unsplit), and Taiwan (9,300 unsplit).  Net sales of 887,500 splits were down 28 percent from the previous week, but up 2 percent from the prior 4-week
average.  The destinations were reported for Vietnam (842,800 pounds, including decreases of 100 pounds), China (41,000 pounds), Spain (3,000 pounds), and South Korea (700 pounds).  Exports of 732,500 pounds were up 36 percent from the previous week and 61
percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Vietnam (566,700 pounds) and Spain (85,000 pounds).

Beef: 
Net sales of 14,000 MT for 2022 were down 39 percent from the previous week and 43 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Japan (6,500 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), South Korea (3,900 MT, including decreases of 800 MT),
Mexico (800 MT), Taiwan (700 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), and Hong Kong (500 MT).  Exports of 19,300 MT were down 5 percent from the previous week and 18 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Japan (5,400 MT), South
Korea (5,400 MT), China (3,400 MT), Taiwan (1,500 MT), and Mexico (900 MT). 

Pork: 
Net sales of 41,200 MT for 2022 were up 49 percent from the previous week and 44 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (13,200 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), China (13,000 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), Japan (5,100
MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Colombia (2,300 MT), and South Korea (2,300 MT, including decreases of 1,000 MT), were offset by reductions for Chile (100 MT).  Exports of 29,000 MT were down 5 percent from the previous week, but up 2 percent from the
prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (13,500 MT), Japan (3,800 MT), China (3,600 MT), South Korea (2,300 MT), and Canada (1,400 MT).

 

 

Terry Reilly

Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds

Futures International
One Lincoln Center
18 W 140 Butterfield Rd.

Oakbrook Terrace, Il. 60181

W: 312.604.1366

treilly@futures-int.com

ICE IM: 
treilly1

Skype: fi.treilly

 

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