PDF Attached

 

Private
exporters reported sales of 318,200 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations during the 2021/2022 marketing year.

 

Bear
spreading CBOT agriculture markets was another feature today as some traders shore up positions early ahead of the weekend and upcoming USDA reports due out a week from today. SA premiums were soft over last week and SA hedging started to increase, at least
for corn. USD was higher, crude oil lower, and equities higher, at the time CBOT ags closed.
US
President Joe Biden is in Brussels for meetings on the situation in Ukraine (NATO, G7 and European Council). 

 

 

(Bloomberg)
— U.S. farmers seen increasing soybean planting this year by 1.7m acres over last year’s amount, while decreasing corn by 1.4m acres, according to the avg est. of as many as 33 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

  • Soybean
    planting seen at 88.9m acres vs 87.2m in 2021. The USDA at its annual Outlook Forum in Feb. estimated 88m acres
  • Corn
    seen at 92m acres which is the same as USDA’s Feb. est.; acreage was 93.4m in 2021
  • Wheat
    seen at 47.9m acres, only slightly lower than USDA’s Feb. est., and 1.2m acres above 2021

 

Weather

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World
Weather Inc.

WEATHER
EVENTS AND FEATURES TO WATCH

  • Rain
    fell heavily across northern Rio Grande do Sul and some areas in Misiones, Argentina Wednesday and overnight.
    • Amounts
      varying from 1.00 to more than 5.00 inches resulted in some local flooding
      • This
        expanded flooding that began on Tuesday in southern Paraguay into northern Rio Grande do Sul
    • Rain
      also continued in western Parana, southern Paraguay and in western Santa Catarina with the western parts of Santa Catarina also reporting 2.00 to  more than 4.00 inches
  • Significant
    rain also occurred in southwestern and south-central Buenos Aires overnight with rain totals of 1.00 to 2.25 inches and a few amounts to 2.87 inches
    • Rain
      elsewhere in Argentina was more varied mostly light ranging from 0.05 to 0.88 inch with a few amounts of 1.00 to 2.00 inches in northern and central Buenos Aires
  • South
    America’s weather has not changed greatly today for the  next ten days to two weeks relative to the outlook Wednesday
    • Net
      drying is expected in far western Argentina after today, but the moisture profile is still favorable in most of the  summer crop areas to minimize any concern over the drying  trend
    • Eastern
      and northern Argentina will get some additional  precipitation next week
    • All 
      of Brazil will get rain at one time or another during the next ten days to two weeks except in the heart of Bahia and northern Minas Gerais where net drying is expected to continue
      • Too
        much dryness is already stressing minor grain, oilseed, sugarcane and coffee areas from Zona de Mata through  northern Minas Gerais to central Bahia and change is not very likely for the next ten days
    • Safrinha
      cotton and corn in Brazil will continue to have moisture abundance for ongoing crop development
      • Production
        of these crops should be high this year
  • West
    and South Texas and southern parts of the Texas Coastal Bend region will be left dry or mostly dry for the next ten days to two weeks
    • The
      drying bias remains a threat to unirrigated cotton, corn and sorghum in each of these areas
  • U.S.
    Midwest, Delta and portions of the southeastern states are too wet today and need drying
    • Limited
      precipitation is expected over the coming week which should help reduce runoff, slow some of the flooding and begin to firm the topsoil in well-drained areas
      • Planting
        delays in the Delta, Tennessee River Basin and parts of the southeastern states will continue for the next few days, but conditions should improve late this weekend into early next week for a little fieldwork.
  • U.S.
    Northwestern Plains and southwestern Canada’s Prairies may get some precipitation briefly early next week, but the outlook is not very great for follow up precipitation and subsoil moisture will remain low
  • California
    will receive some needed rain and mountain snowfall Sunday into  Monday, but the moisture will not change the bottom line on drought status or water supply
  • Europe
    rainfall in the coming week is expected mostly in Spain and Portugal while any showers that occur elsewhere (and there will be some) are expected to be too light and brief to have much impact on soil moisture which should slowly decline
    • Greater
      rainfall is expected in central and  eastern Europe starting during the middle to latter part of  next week and continuing through the first full week in April
    • Temperatures
      will be near to above normal this week and probably next week as well
  • Much
    of Russia, Ukraine, northern Kazakhstan, Belarus and the Baltic States were dry again Wednesday while a little rain fell in southern parts of Russia’s Southern Region and areas east into southeastern Kazakhstan
    • Temperatures
      have been warming sufficiently to melt snow in western Russia where recent highest temperatures were in the 40s and 50s Fahrenheit.
      • Some
        60-degree highs occurred in Ukraine the past two days
  • Some
    increase in precipitation is expected in the CIS this weekend and next week as waves of snow and rain evolve across the region
    • Temperatures
      will be seasonable, although trending cooler this weekend into next week
      • The
        precipitation may perpetuate some flood potential since there is so much snow to melt this year and significant runoff has already occurred
  • India
    weather will continue mostly dry and seasonably warm to hot through the next ten days
    • There
      is some risk of showers and thunderstorms in Kerala and immediate neighboring areas of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu as well as in the far Eastern States and extreme northern most parts of the nation
  • China’s
    rain Wednesday became confined to the coast areas of Guangxi and Guangdong leaving the rest of the nation in a net drying mode
    • Additional 
      drying is needed in the Yangtze River Basin and areas to the south to induce the best spring planting conditions
  • China’s
    Yangtze River Basin and southern provinces will continue additional rain into the weekend
    • Minor
      flooding will be possible along with some delay to early rice and corn planting progress
    • Drier
      conditions are likely late this weekend and next week resulting  in improved rapeseed and minor wheat conditions and to support better corn and rice planting conditions
  • Australia
    rainfall today into early next week will be great enough to bring some increase in soil moisture to southeastern Queensland and northeastern New South Wales
    • The
      precipitation may raise a little concern over cotton fiber quality since most bolls are open or opening
    • Some
      temporary discoloring of cotton fiber is possible
  • Tropical
    Cyclone Charlotte dissipated northwest of Australia Wednesday, but its remnants are still advertised to impact parts of southwestern Australia this weekend
    • The 
      storm needs to be closely monitored because of some potential that it or its remnants will bring rain to Western Australia this weekend into early next week
    • Rain
      in Western Australia from the storm could boost topsoil moisture, although autumn planting of wheat and barley will not begin before late April
  • South
    Africa weather will include mild to warm temperatures over the next week ten days while rainfall is sporadic and light.
    • The
      environment should be good for late season crop development, early crop maturation and harvest progress
  • Indonesia
    and Malaysia rainfall will be abundant during the next ten days with rain falling every day in portions of the region
    • Some
      local flooding will be possible
  • Philippines
    rainfall is expected to be periodic and mostly beneficial during the next ten days; wettest in the south this week
  • Mainland
    areas of Southeast Asia will also experience a near-daily occurrence of showers and thunderstorms during the next ten days
    • The
      environment will be very good for crop development and helpful in raising topsoil moisture for corn and rice planting
  • Colombia,
    Ecuador, western Venezuela and parts of Peru will remain plenty wet during the next ten days
    • Frequent
      rain is expected
    • The
      moisture will be great for coffee and cocoa flowering and well as support of all crops
  • Ghana
    and Ivory Coast will receive erratic rainfall over the next week
    • The
      precipitation may be a little more erratic than desired outside of Ivory Coast and Ghana in the remainder of west-central Africa.
    • Greater
      rain is still be needed in interior Nigeria and interior Cameroon as well as some Benin locations, despite a little rain this week
    • The
      greatest and most widespread precipitation is expected over the next few days
  • East-central
    Africa precipitation has been most significant in Tanzania
    • Ethiopia
      has been dry biased along with northern Uganda and parts of southwestern Kenya
      • Some
        rain will develop in Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda over the next few days easing some dryness, but more will be needed
      • The
        moisture boost will be welcome.
  • Today’s
    Southern Oscillation Index is +13.33 
    • The
      index will slowly slip lower over the coming week
  • Mexico
    will experience seasonable temperatures and a limited amount of rainfall during the coming week; southeastern areas will be wettest
  • Central
    America precipitation will be greatest along the Caribbean Coast during the next seven to ten days and in both Panama and Costa Rica
    • Guatemala
      will also get some showers periodically

Source:
World Weather Inc.

 

Bloomberg
Ag Calendar

Thursday,
March 24:

  • USDA
    weekly net-export sales for corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, pork and beef
  • Brazil’s
    Unica may release cane crush, sugar output data
  • USDA
    red meat production, 3pm
  • HOLIDAY:
    Argentina

Friday,
March 25:

  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report, ~2:30pm
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various U.S. futures and options, 3:30pm
  • Malaysia’s
    March 1-25 palm oil export data
  • U.S.
    cattle on feed, poultry slaughter

Source:
Bloomberg and FI

 

 

USDA
Export sales

Poor
soybean, soybean oil & sorghum export sales.

Soybeans
export sales for 2021-22 were only 412,200 tons, below a range of trade expectations and included Algeria (84,000 MT), Egypt (76,500 MT), Mexico (75,100 MT), Indonesia (66,200MT), and China (32,500 MT), were offset by reductions for unknown destinations (57,700
MT). Switches from unknown were noted for many countries. New-crop soybean export sales were negative 13,000 tons were for China. 

Soybean
meal sales of 260,700 tons old crop and 42,200 tons new crop improved from the previous week and were within expectations. The Philippines and Ecuador were largest buyers. Soybean meal shipments were 136,200 tons, down from 252,200 tons previous week. 

Soybean
oil sales of negative 1,900 old crop included reductions for Mexico and Canada. There were no new-crop sales. Shipments of 19,400 tons improved from the previous week.

 

Corn
export sales of 979,500 tons were near the low end of expectations and included Mexico (265,300 MT), Colombia (153,900 MT, including 49,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 4,000 MT), South Korea (127,200 MT), and unknown destinations
(92,600 MT). New crop sales were only 6,200 tons.  Sorghum sales were negative 6,400 tons.

 

All-wheat
export sales of 155,700 tons old crop and 367,300 tons new-crop were within expectations. New-crop sales included unknown destinations (142,200 MT), Colombia (69,700 MT), and Nigeria (46,000 MT),

 

 

 

Macros

US
Crude Oil Futures Settle At $112.34/Bbl, Down $2.59 Or 2.25%

US
Mortgage Rates Surge To 4.42%, Highest Since January 2019

88
Counterparties Take $1.708 Tln At Fed Reverse Repo Op (prev $1.803 Tln, 89 Bids)

US
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (BCF) 18-Mar: -51 (est -59; prev -79)  


Salt Dome Cavern NatGas Stocks (BCF): -3 (prev -8)

US
Initial Jobless Claims Mar19: 187K (est 2210K; prev 214K)

US
Continuing Claims Mar 12: 1350K (est 1400K; prev 1419K)

US
Durable Goods Orders Feb P: -2.2% (est -0.6%; prev 1.6%)

US
Durables Ex Transportation Feb P: -0.6% (est 0.6%; prev 0.7%)

US
Current Account Balance Q4: -$217.9Bln (est -$218.0Bln; prev -$214.8Bln; prevR -$219.9)

 

 

 

Corn

·        
CBOT corn futures fell on lower WTI crude oil and light long liquidation. SA corn hedging las increased over the past couple of weeks with favorable weather improving Brazil’s second crop production potential. May CBOT corn

traded $7.50 for the 16th session in a row. Today May settled at $7.4825, down 9.50 cents. USDA export sales were reported near the low end of trade expectations.

·        
Safras mentioned Brazil corn exports could end up near 34.5 million tons, a 66 percent increase from last season.  Safras will revise their Brazil crop production estimate next week. They are currently at 115.7MMT Brazil total. 

·        
Argentina’s Buenos Aires grains exchange lowered their outlook for the corn production to 49 million tons versus 51 million tons previously.

·        
Seven US agriculture groups asked the USDA to open CRP land. If realized, we think only a minimal amount would be adequately used for grain production as it takes about a year for CRP areas to adjust to “normal” conditions for
optimal growing conditions. Producers need time to turn the ground over and apply fertilizers. The organizations look for about 4 million acres to be utilized. Nearly 21 million acres are currently enrolled.

·        
Japan and the US reached an agreement on beef tariffs which should open the door for an increase in US exports. Exports of U.S. beef to Japan were nearly $2.4 billion in 2021, according to Reuters.

 

Export
developments.

  • Turkey
    seeks 325,000 tons of corn on March 28. Optional origin for April 8 and May 5 shipment.  They also seek 175 tons of local corn.  500k total makes us wonder if they are covered for reserves.

 

 

Updated
3/23/22

May
corn is seen in a $6.75 and $8.10 range

December
corn is seen in a wide $5.50-$7.50 range

 

Soybeans

·        
CBOT
soybeans
traded lower led by bear spreading (SA premiums softer over past week) in part to  sharply lower soybean oil and weaker WTI crude. USDA export sales were poor for soybeans and soybean oil. New-crop soybean sales posted a net reduction of 13,000 tons. Again,
we are hearing China soybean interest for late 2021-22 shipment, but new-crop interest is quiet. Meanwhile, China crush rates declined over the past 4 consecutive weeks in part to rising Covid-19 cases.

·        
Under the 24 hour reporting system, USDA announced 318,200 tons of 2021-22 soybeans sold to unknown.

·        
SBO was under pressure led by the May position after palm oil futures fell 4 percent on Thursday and poor USDA export sales. Soybean meal gained over oil on decent export sales and spreading, settling moderately higher for May
and lower for the back months. 

·        
Argentina was on holiday.

·        
Brazil and Argentina will see beneficial rains this week and next week.

·        
Argentina’s Buenos Aires grains exchange left their 2021-22 soybean production estimate unchanged at 42 million tons and sunflower production at 3.3 million tons. 

·        
China soybean crush for the week ending March 20 fell 140,000 tons from the previous week to 1.30MMT, down 270,000 tons from year earlier. This is the fourth consecutive weekly decline, according to AgriCensus. Covid-19 was a
factor for the slowdown.

·        
Ukraine’s Agriculture Minister Roman Leshchenko has submitted his resignation, but it needs to be approved by Parliament. The Ministry earlier said the Ukraine spring crop planted area may end up around 7 million hectares for
2022, versus 15 million hectares expected before the invasion.

·        
Meanwhile APK-Inform now sees the 2022 Ukraine sunseed harvest at around 9.6 million tons, down 42 percent from their 2021 estimate. The rapeseed production could fall by 19% to 2.52 million tons and soybean production down 23%
to 2.74 million tons.

·        
Indonesia will export 1 million kiloliters of biodiesel this year according to the Vice Chairman of the Indonesia Biofuel Producer.  Last year exports were only 91,500 kiloliters in 2021.

·        
Officials from Indonesia and Malaysia told Reuters that they are still committed to their biodiesel programs. Indonesia since early 2020 is currently at B30. Malaysia wants to achieve 30 percent. They have set B20 by the end of
2022.

 

USDA
Indonesia Oilseeds and Products Annual

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Oilseeds%20and%20Products%20Annual_Jakarta_Indonesia_ID2022-0007.pdf

 

Export
Developments

  • Under
    the 24-hour reporting system, private exporters reported sales of 318,200 tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown destinations during the 2021-22 marketing year.
  • Qatar
    seeks to buy 960k cartons of corn oil in a tender closing April 4.

 

 

EIA
projects U.S. renewable diesel supply to surpass biodiesel in AEO2022

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=51778&src=email#

Chart, line chart

Description automatically generated

 

Updated
3/14/22

Soybeans
– May $16.00-$18.00

Soybeans
– November is seen in a wide $12.50-$16.00 range

Soybean
meal – May $430-$520

Soybean
oil – May 72.00-
79.00

 

Wheat

·        
Chicago and KC wheat futures were lower in a risk off trade and precipitation this week falling across the dry areas of US HRW wheat country. MN wheat traded tow-sided, ending lower but not as weak as the other two US markets.
Bear spreading was a feature. 2021-22 all-wheat export sales were only 155,700 tons but new crop were 367,300 tons and included 119,200 tons 2022-23 HRW.

·        
May Paris wheat futures were down 9.25 euros to 376.50 euros.

·        
India export commitments are increasing with latest sale to Thailand.

·        
Egypt is still looking to open additional avenues of sourcing wheat by extending talks with Argentina, India and the US.

·        
Egypt’s supply ministry will begin offering flour to private sector mills at 8,600 Egyptian pounds ($471.23) per ton as of Saturday after setting a fixed price for bread earlier this week.

 

Export
Developments.

·        
Thailand bought 70,000 tons of feed wheat from India at $369/ton CIFLO (Cost, Insurance and Freight Liner Out) for May shipment.

·        
Jordan cancelled their import tender for 120,000 tons of milling wheat. Possible shipment combinations were May 16-31, June 16-30, July 1-15 and July 16-31.

·        
Qatar seeks 105,000 tons of optional origin animal feed barley on March 27 shipment in April, May and June. 

·        
Bangladesh is in for 50,000 tons of wheat with a deadline of April 4.

·        
Results awaited: Iraq extended their deadline to buy 50,000 tons of hard milling wheat until March 22.

 

Rice/Other

·        
(Bloomberg) — Qatar is seeking to buy 1.2m bags of rice in a tender that closes April 4, according to the Ministry of Commerce and Industry’s website.  Qatar also seeks to buy 960k cartons of corn oil in a tender closing April
4

 

Updated
3/14/22

Chicago
May $9.35 to $12.50 range

KC
May $9.25 to $12.50 range

MN
May $10.00‐$13.00

 

 

 

USDA
Export sales

U.S.
EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING  3/17/2022





























 

CURRENT
MARKETING YEAR

NEXT
MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET
SALES

OUTSTANDING
SALES

WEEKLY
EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED
EXPORTS

NET
SALES

OUTSTANDING
SALES

CURRENT
YEAR

YEAR
AGO

CURRENT
YEAR

YEAR
AGO

 

THOUSAND
METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  
HRW    

34.1

1,586.8

1,398.7

152.7

5,873.3

7,017.1

119.2

364.6

  
SRW    

-14.7

567.6

354.6

39.3

2,188.3

1,439.8

133.0

364.0

  
HRS     

91.4

1,067.2

1,648.2

105.1

4,112.0

5,767.7

62.1

372.7

  
WHITE   

44.8

503.8

1,956.5

69.0

2,803.4

4,600.9

50.6

222.6

  
DURUM  

0.0

18.8

78.3

0.0

169.7

592.1

2.4

49.4

    
TOTAL

155.7

3,744.1

5,436.3

366.1

15,146.7

19,417.6

367.3

1,373.3

BARLEY

0.1

13.9

6.1

0.0

14.7

22.7

0.0

0.0

CORN

979.5

22,719.4

32,988.6

1,492.1

30,298.6

31,940.1

6.1

2,138.7

SORGHUM

-6.4

3,274.7

2,748.1

255.2

3,501.7

3,518.4

0.0

0.0

SOYBEANS

412.2

11,161.5

6,380.1

549.2

42,874.7

54,278.8

-13.0

8,110.8

SOY
MEAL

260.7

3,223.1

2,594.5

136.2

5,829.4

6,202.2

42.2

276.9

SOY
OIL

-2.0

167.2

114.0

19.4

435.2

521.1

0.0

0.0

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  
L G RGH

24.4

234.2

330.5

32.5

922.9

1,053.2

0.0

0.0

  
M S RGH

0.5

3.5

5.3

5.3

10.7

23.5

0.0

0.0

  
L G BRN

0.1

16.5

4.0

0.6

33.2

33.4

0.0

0.0

  
M&S BR

0.2

43.9

69.6

0.1

42.3

83.8

0.0

0.0

  
L G MLD

17.6

73.9

58.3

11.2

569.2

440.9

0.0

0.0

  
M S MLD

41.0

240.4

243.7

4.6

257.5

360.4

0.0

0.0

    
TOTAL

83.8

612.5

711.4

54.4

1,835.9

1,995.4

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND
RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

307.5

7,670.9

5,351.8

442.7

6,292.4

9,146.8

67.4

2,352.4

  
PIMA

3.0

160.7

257.5

5.8

270.5

477.4

0.0

15.0

 

 

This
summary is based on reports from exporters for the period March 11-17, 2022.

Wheat:  Net
sales of 155,700 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 7 percent from the previous week, but down 51 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Japan (109,800 MT), Taiwan (50,100 MT), Venezuela (31,500 MT, including 30,000 MT switched
from unknown destinations), Mexico (29,900 MT, including decreases of 29,400 MT), and Chile (12,000 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Nigeria (35,700 MT), unknown destinations (31,400 MT), and Colombia (14,500 MT).  Net sales of 367,300 MT for 2022/2023
were primarily for unknown destinations (142,200 MT), Colombia (69,700 MT), Nigeria (46,000 MT), Panama (44,400 MT), and the Philippines (30,500 MT), were offset by reductions for Nicaragua (2,100 MT).  Exports of 366,100 MT were up 47 percent from the previous
week, but down 5 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to South Korea (83,300 MT), the Philippines (57,600 MT), Mexico (57,000 MT), Honduras (34,100 MT), and Venezuela (31,500 MT). 

Corn: 
Net sales of 979,500 MT for 2021/2022 were down 47 percent from the previous week and 29 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (265,300 MT, including decreases of 400 MT), Colombia (153,900 MT, including 49,000 MT switched
from unknown destinations and decreases of 4,000 MT), South Korea (127,200 MT), unknown destinations (92,600 MT), and Israel (69,700 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), were offset by reductions reported for Costa Rica (1,800 MT) and
Nicaragua (1,300 MT).  Total net sales of 6,100 MT for 2022/2023 were for Mexico.  Exports of 1,492,100 MT were up 17 percent from the previous week, but down 8 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (477,900 MT),
Japan (295,400 MT), Mexico (260,700 MT), Colombia (108,400 MT), and Canada (90,100 MT). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, new optional origin sales of 190,000 MT were reported for unknown destinations (125,000 MT) and South Korea (65,000 MT).  The current outstanding balance of 535,800 MT is for unknown destinations (305,000 MT), South
Korea (130,000 MT), Morocco (60,000 MT), Italy (31,800 MT), and Saudi Arabia (9,000 MT).  For 2022/2023, the current outstanding balance of 3,900 MT is for Italy.

Barley: 
Total net sales of 100 MT for 2021/2022 were unchanged from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destination was South Korea.  No exports were reported for the week.

Sorghum: 
Net sales reductions of 6,400 MT for 2021/2022–a marketing-year low–were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for China (126,600 MT, including 133,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases
of 12,300 MT), were more than offset by reductions for unknown destinations (133,000 MT).  Exports of 255,200 MT were down 2 percent from the previous week, but up 19 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destination was to China (255,000 MT) and Mexico
(200 MT).

Rice: 
Net sales of 83,800 MT for 2021/2022 were up noticeably from the previous week and up 44 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for Japan (38,000 MT), Colombia (22,000 MT), Haiti (15,200 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), Canada
(2,200 MT), and El Salvador (1,500 MT).  Exports of 54,400 MT were down 8 percent from the previous week and 22 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (27,800 MT), Honduras (12,100 MT), Haiti (7,100 MT), Canada (3,000
MT), and Jordan (1,400 MT).

Exports
for Own Account
:
For 2021/2022, new exports for own account totaling 100 MT were to Canada.  The current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 MT, all Canada.

Soybeans: 
Net sales of 412,200 MT for 2021/2022 were down 67 percent from the previous week and 70 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Algeria (84,000 MT), Egypt (76,500 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases
of 900 MT), Mexico (75,100 MT, including decreases of 1,000 MT), Indonesia (66,200 MT, including 55,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 100 MT), and China (32,500 MT), were offset by reductions for unknown destinations (57,700 MT). 
Total net sales reductions of 13,000 MT for 2022/2023 were for China.  Exports of 549,200 MT were down 23 percent from the previous week and 38 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (161,700 MT), Mexico (138,400 MT),
Egypt (116,500 MT), Indonesia (80,300 MT), and Japan (16,700 MT).

Export
for Own Account:

For 2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 3,000 MT, all Canada.

Soybean
Cake and Meal:
 
Net sales of 260,700 MT for 2021/2022 were up 77 percent from the previous week and 32 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for the Philippines (88,000 MT), Ecuador (87,000 MT, including decreases of 5,000 MT), Colombia (31,300 MT, including
20,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), Venezuela (24,000 MT), and Morocco (21,000 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for Ireland (30,000 MT) and unknown destinations (27,200 MT).  Net sales of 42,200 MT for 2022/2023 were reported for Ireland
(30,000 MT), Mexico (12,000 MT), and Canada (200 MT).  Exports of 136,200 MT–a marketing-year low–were down 46 percent from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Ecuador (32,500 MT), Mexico (27,800 MT),
Colombia (16,800 MT), Morocco (13,000 MT), and Canada (9,700 MT).

Soybean
Oil:
 
Net sales reductions of 2,000 MT for 2021/2022 were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  Increases reported for India (800 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), were more than offset by reductions for Mexico (2,700 MT) and
Canada (100 MT).  Exports of 19,400 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 21 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to India (17,700 MT) and Mexico (1,300 MT).

Cotton: 
Net sales of 307,500 RB for 2021/2022 were down 17 percent from the previous week and 7 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (130,200 RB, including decreases of 8,900 RB), Turkey (71,700 RB, including decreases of 200 RB),
Bangladesh (26,500 RB), Pakistan (25,700 RB, including 200 RB switched from the United Arab Emirates and decreases of 100 RB), and Vietnam (23,400 RB, including 1,400 RB switched from South Korea, 500 RB switched from Indonesia, 500 RB switched from Japan,
and decreases of 200 RB), were offset by reductions for South Korea (1,400 RB), Guatemala (200 RB), and the United Arabia Emirates (200 RB).  Net sales of 67,400 RB for 2022/2023 were primarily for China (21,800 RB), Thailand (13,600 RB), Pakistan (9,700 RB),
Turkey (7,900 RB), and Guatemala (6,100 RB).  Exports of 442,700 RB–a marketing-year high–were up 36 percent from the previous week and 29 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to China (173,500 RB, including 46,000 RB –
late), Vietnam (74,700 RB, including 12,500 RB – late), Turkey (50,400 RB, including 5,500 RB late), Pakistan (37,100 RB, including 2,300 RB – late), and Mexico (23,700 RB).  Net sales of Pima totaling 3,000 RB were down 76 percent from the previous week and
53 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for India (1,200 RB), China (700 RB), and Turkey (600 RB).  Exports of 5,800 RB were down 25 percent from the previous week and 61 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations
were primarily to China (2,000 RB), Peru (1,700 RB), and Vietnam (1,500 RB).   

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2021/2022, options were exercised to export 4,400 RB to Pakistan from the United States.  The current outstanding balance of 57,200 RB is for Vietnam (52,800 RB) and Pakistan (4,400 RB). 

Exports
for Own Account:
For
2021/2022, the current exports for own account outstanding balance is 100 RB, all Vietnam.

Late
Reporting:

For 2021/2022,
exports
totaling 80,600 RB of upland cotton were reported late to China (46,000 RB), Vietnam (12,500 RB), Bangladesh (5,900 RB), Turkey (5,500 RB), South Korea (3,600 RB), Indonesia (2,600 RB), Pakistan (2,300 RB), Thailand (700 RB), India (600 RB), Guatemala (500
RB), and Peru (400 RB).

Hides
and Skins:
 
Net sales of 413,500 pieces for 2022 were down 11 percent from the previous week, but up 1 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for China (256,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 6,900 pieces), South Korea (71,200 whole cattle
hides, including decreases of 1,100 pieces), Italy (26,600 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 700 pieces), Thailand (24,300 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 400 pieces), and Mexico (18,300 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 700 pieces),
were offset by reductions for Indonesia (400 pieces) and Brazil (100 pieces).  Total net sales of 100 calf skins, including decreases of 100 calf skins were for Italy.  In addition, net sales reductions of 400 kip skins were reported for Belgium (300 kip skins)
and Italy (100 kip skins).  Exports of 487,200 pieces were up 13 percent from the previous week and 19 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Whole cattle hides exports were primarily to China (293,100 pieces), South Korea (79,100 pieces), Mexico (31,100
pieces), Taiwan (19,000 pieces), and Thailand (15,700 pieces).  Total exports of 1,900 calf skins were to Italy.  In addition, exports of 5,100 kip skins were primarily to Belgium (2,600 kip skins) and China (1,300 kip skins).

Net
sales of 328,700 wet blues for 2022 were up noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Vietnam (111,400 unsplit, including decreases of 6,000 unsplit), Italy (88,900 unsplit, 35,200 grain splits, including
decreases of 100 unsplit and 400 grain splits), China (63,800 unsplit, including decreases of 5,000 unsplit), Thailand (20,200 unsplit), and Mexico (9,800 unsplit)
,
were offset by reductions for Mexico (1,000 grain splits), Taiwan (300 unsplit), and Portugal (200 grain splits).  Exports of 193,700 wet blues were up 63 percent from the previous week and 71 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily
to Italy (52,300 unsplit and 20,700 grain splits), China (45,800 unsplit), Vietnam (40,300 unsplit), Thailand (12,600 unsplit), and Hong Kong (8,000 unsplit).  Net sales reductions of 61,200 splits were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior
4-week average.  The destinations reported for China (30,400 pounds, including decreases of 13,600 pounds) and South Korea (300 pounds, including decreases of 1,200 pounds), were offset by reductions for Taiwan (86,500 pounds) and Vietnam (5,400 pounds). 
Exports of 324,000 pounds were to Vietnam (240,800 pounds) and China (83,200 pounds).

Beef: 
Net sales of 27,500 MT for 2022–a marketing-year high–were up 40 percent from the previous week and 29 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases were primarily for South Korea (9,000 MT, including decreases of 700 MT), China (7,600 MT, including
decreases of 100 MT), Japan (6,000 MT, including decreases of 500 MT), Hong Kong (1,100 MT), and Taiwan (900 MT, including decreases of 100 MT).  Exports of 41,800 MT–a marketing-year high–were up noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week
average.  The destinations were primarily to Japan (11,300 MT, including 6,500 MT – late), China (8,700 MT, including 6,600 MT – late), South Korea (6,400 MT, including 1,900 MT – late), Mexico (4,400 MT, including 3,300 MT – late), and the Netherlands (2,200
MT, including 2,000 – late).  

Late
Reporting:

For 2022,
exports
totaling 25,600 MT of beef were reported late to China (6,600 MT), Japan (6,500 MT), Mexico (3,300 MT), the Netherlands (2,000 MT), South Korea (1,900 MT), Egypt (1,500 MT), Italy (1,200 MT), Indonesia (900 MT), Philippines (400 MT), Hong Kong (300 MT), Guatemala
(200 MT), Singapore (200 MT), Chile (100 MT), Peru (100 MT), Switzerland (100 MT), the United Arab Emirates (100 MT), Brazil (100 MT), and Taiwan (100 MT).

Pork: 
Net sales of 23,200 MT for 2022 were down 39 percent from the previous week and 30 percent from the prior 4-week average.  Increases primarily for Mexico (9,200 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), South Korea (4,800 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), Japan
(3,300 MT, including decreases of 200 MT), Colombia (1,800 MT), and Australia (800 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), were offset by reductions for Nicaragua (200 MT).  Exports of 29,100 MT were up 12 percent from the previous week and 1 percent from the
prior 4-week average.  The destinations were primarily to Mexico (12,800 MT), Japan (4,600 MT), China (3,800 MT), South Korea (2,000 MT), and Canada (1,600 MT).

 

 

Terry Reilly

Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds

Futures International
One Lincoln Center
18 W 140 Butterfield Rd.

Oakbrook Terrace, Il. 60181

W: 312.604.1366

treilly@futures-int.com

ICE IM: 
treilly1

Skype: fi.treilly

 

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