PDF Attached

 

Argentina
crop concerns sent soybeans higher. Wheat was higher mainly on technical buying. Corn ended mixed led by bear spreading. Black Sea shipping concerns have been supportive. Negotiations are underway. There were no USDA 24-hour sales. US export sales for soybeans,
corn and wheat slowed from the previous week and were near the lower end of their respected trade range. Product sales were low.
WTI crude oil was higher and USD sharply higher.

 

 

Weather

Brazil
and Argentina rains were near expectations yesterday. Most of southern and central Brazil will see rain through the end of this week while net drying in the northeast may stress the corn crop. Argentina’s northern Santa Fe and northern Entre Rios will see
rain today before drying down through Monday. The far west of Argentina will see rain next week. Temperatures will remain hot resulting in net drying for many areas. The upper WCB saw snow yesterday. A wintery mix of showers bias south, and snow bias north
will sweep across the central and eastern US over the next three days. Rain should favor southeastern KS, OK, and northern and eastern TX through early Friday.

 

 

Map

Description automatically generated

 

World
Weather, INC.

MOST
IMPORTANT WEATHER FOR THE DAY

  • India
    will continue warmer and drier than usual over the next two weeks, despite some showers for a little while next week
    • The
      showers will not produce enough rain to counter evaporation, but they will help to put a cap on the warmer than usual temperatures
    • Production
      potentials continue to slip lower in some of the unirrigated winter crop areas because of warmer than usual temperatures and no rain in the heart of the production region
  • Eastern
    China is drying out, but temperatures have been mild enough recently to conserve soil moisture
    • Rapeseed
      and some wheat areas will need rain later this month, but conditions for now are mostly good
    • Rice
      and corn planting may require greater rainfall in southern China and some sugarcane and citrus crops would benefit from greater rain as well
  • Central
    and southern Argentina will continue drier than usual for the next ten days
    • Today’s
      Ensembles of GFS and ECMWF model runs have suggested increasing rainfall in the south after March 12, confidence is low, but there is more support for it now than there has been
    • Argentina
      crops will see some relief if it rains, but mid-March is just too late for some production to improve
  • No
    change in the Brazil forecast was noted overnight
    • Bahia,
      northeastern Minas Gerais and Espirito Santo will continue drier than usual for the next two weeks
    • Timely
      rainfall is expected in Mato Grosso and Rio Grande do Sul
    • Rain
      will fall too frequently in parts of Paraguay, Parana, Sao Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul for aggressive harvesting and planting to take place
      • These
        states need a break from the rainy weather, but not much is expected for a while
  • The
    bottom line for Brazil will remain good for late season crops, although concern remains for Safrinha corn planting in Parana and immediate neighboring states because of rain and wet field delays. Safrinha corn yields may end up lower than usual because of
    late planting. Mato Grosso crops are in relatively good condition. Monsoonal precipitation in Brazil is expected to continue into April.
  • U.S.
    weather has not changed much today in an official capacity, but the GFS model run was wetter for the Great Plains and that may not verify very well
    • U.S.
      Delta, Tennessee River Basin and central and eastern Midwest crop areas will see frequent rainfall over the next two weeks maintaining saturated field conditions and raising the potential for flooding
    • Red
      River Basin of the North flood potentials are rising because of recent heavy snowfall and large amounts of water tied up in the snow that may cause significant runoff and flood issues later this spring if the snow melts too quickly
    • Another
      snowstorm is expected in the northern Plains and upper Midwest Saturday night and Sunday with 2 to 6 inches and local totals over 8 inches possible impacting central and southern North Dakota, northeastern South Dakota and central and northern Minnesota
      • These
        same areas received 3 to 10 inches of snow and local totals to 14 inches Tuesday into Wednesday morning there was already substantial snow present across the region
    • California
      precipitation is on hold for a few days, but will resume this weekend and continue into next week briefly maintaining a favorable soil moisture and runoff situation
    • South
      Texas, northeastern Mexico and the Texas Coastal Bend will experience limited rainfall over the next week, but there will be some potential for rain in the second week of the outlook
    • U.S.
      Gulf coastal crop areas from Louisiana to Florida and Georgia will have opportunity for rain a little later this month
      • The
        moisture will be needed after an extended period without precipitation and warm biased conditions that accelerated net drying
    • U.S.
      hard red winter wheat areas will continue drier biased in the southwestern Plains, but some snow and rain will impact northern and eastern crop areas during the week next week
  • Florida
    is becoming too dry, although irrigation is being used to support crops
    • Rain
      is need across the state and it will soon be needed in southern and southern Alabama as well
  • Canada’s
    Prairies weather will be drier biased except in western and southern Alberta and southwestern Saskatchewan where some waves of snow will occur through this first week of the outlook
  • North
    America temperatures into early next week will be colder than usual in the western parts of both the United States and Canada while temperatures are warmer biased in the Midwest, Delta, southeastern states, southern Plains and the Middle and North Atlantic
    Coast States
    • Some
      of the cold in the west will begin spreading to the east in the second week of March including much of the Great Plains and  part of the Midwest
  • South-central
    and southeastern Europe will receive additional precipitation over the next few days while other parts of the continent are dry or mostly dry
    • A
      boost in precipitation would be welcome and good for agriculture across the continent starting next week
      • Eastern
        Spain and the lower Danube River Basin continue driest
    • Temperatures
      will also be cooler biased across much of Europe into the weekend and the mostly in the north next week
    • Europe
      should trend warmer in the second week of March
  • Western
    CIS crop weather will continue wet over the next ten days with waves of snow and rain expected to continue
    • Flood
      potentials continue to rise for this spring due to saturated soil and significant snow accumulations on top of the ground
    • Additional
      moisture totals this week will vary from 0.30 to 1.00 inch with a few 1.00- to 2.00-inch totals
  • Eastern
    Australia’s dryland cotton, sorghum and other summer crops are unlikely to get much precipitation over the next ten days resulting in additional crop stress and lower production potentials
    • Some
      rain is expected near the Pacific Coast, but interior areas of Queensland and New South Wales will remain dry
    • Irrigated
      crops in eastern Australia continue in good condition with normal to above normal yields expected
  • Philippines
    rainfall will be light to locally moderate most days through the coming week
    • Weather
      conditions in the next ten days should be mostly good for the nation
  • Indonesia
    and Malaysia rainfall will occur abundantly during the next two weeks with all areas impacted and no area experiencing much net drying
  • South
    Africa weather will be favorably mixed during the next two weeks with alternating periods of rain and sunshine likely
  • West-central
    Africa rainfall should increase in the next two weeks
    • A
      seasonal increase in rainfall is expected to continue gradually over the next two weeks helping coffee, cocoa, rice and sugarcane to begin development normally
      • Recent
        precipitation has been erratic and light
  • Middle
    East precipitation is expected to be erratic and sometimes light over the next couple of weeks raising some need for greater precipitation prior to cotton and rice planting season.
    • Wheat
      conditions are rated favorably, but would benefit from additional rain
    • Turkey
      should be wettest while Syria, Iraq and Jordan need greater rainfall
  • Eastern
    Africa precipitation will be greatest in Tanzania during the next ten days which is not unusual at this time of year
    • Some
      rain is expected to develop in Ethiopia, Uganda and Kenya over time, although amounts should be light
  • Today’s
    Southern Oscillation Index was +10.71 and it was expected to move erratically over the next week

Source:
World Weather and FI

 

Bloomberg
Ag calendar

Thursday,
March 2:

  • Dubai
    Sugar Conference, day 4
  • USDA
    weekly net-export sales for corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, pork and beef, 8:30am
  • Port
    of Rouen data on French grain exports
  • Global
    Grain and Animal Feed Asia 2023, day 2

Friday,
March 3:

  • FAO
    World Food Price Index, grains report
  • ICE
    Futures Europe weekly commitments of traders report
  • CFTC
    commitments of traders weekly report on positions for various US futures and options, 3:30pm
  • FranceAgriMer’s
    weekly crop conditions reports
  • Global
    Grain and Animal Feed Asia 2023, day 3

Source:
Bloomberg and FI

 

 

 

Selected
Brazil commodity exports via Reuters

Commodity                     
February 2023      February 2022

CRUDE
OIL (TNS)                2,527,864             6,474,032

IRON
ORE (TNS)                 23,412,934            18,654,057

SOYBEANS
(TNS)                 5,199,853             6,271,312

CORN
(TNS)                     2,276,989             768,396

GREEN
COFFEE(TNS)              122,402               208,279

SUGAR
(TNS)                    1,147,588             1,723,741

BEEF
(TNS)                     126,449               158,506

POULTRY
(TNS)                  353,421               339,409

PULP
(TNS)                     1,622,155             1,130,700

 

Due
out March 9

 

 

 

 

Macros

US
Initial Jobless Claims Feb-24: 190K (exp 195K; prev 192K)

US
Continuing Claims Feb-18: 1655K (exp 1669K; prev 1654K)

US
Nonfarm Productivity Q4 F: 1.7% (exp 2.5%; prev 3.0%)

US
Unit Labour Cost Q4 F: 3.2% (exp 1.6%; prev 1.1%)

US
EIA NatGas Storage Change (BCF) 24-Feb: -81 (est -76; prev -71)


Salt Dome Cavern NatGas Stocks (BCF): -1 (prev 0)

Wells
Fargo: No Longer Expects Fed To Cut Rates In 2023

99
Counterparties Take $2.192 Tln At Fed Reverse Repo Op. (prev $2.134 Tln, 100 Bids)

 

Corn

·        
Corn futures
traded
two-sided, turning lower early during the day session in part to soybean/corn spreading, higher US dollar, and slowing export sales. SK’s NOFI passed on corn overnight.

·        
The front three positions ended lower and back months higher. Losses for the front months were limited from sharply higher soybeans, higher wheat, and poor Argentina weather conditions.

·        
Funds sold an estimated net 2,000 corn contracts.

·        
There were no USDA 24-hour export sales reported this morning and the trade is now second guessing if the China corn purchases from the US are true. Meanwhile, USDA export sales were near the low end of a range of trade expectations.
US crop-year to date export sales for corn are running 39% below this time a year ago, so there is some catching up to do, and with less than 600,000 tons reported sold last week, the trade might be rethinking USDA’s corn export estimate for the current crop-year.

·        
India has become a good source for Asian corn buyers that traditionally buy from Argentina. It’s priced about $15-$20/ton below SA corn. About 200k tons of India corn has been book each month over the past few months. 

·        
BA Grains Exchange reported a 3 point decline in the G/E categories to only 6 percent for the corn crop conditions from the previous week and 5 points increase in poor/very poor.

 

 

A picture containing diagram

Description automatically generated

 

Export
developments.

  • South
    Korea’s NOFI group passed on 138,000 tons of corn for July arrival. Lowest offer was $332.81/ton c&f.
  • No
    USDA 24-H sales this morning (not since February 16 for any announcement).

 

 

U
of I: Trends in the Operational Efficiency of the U.S. Ethanol Industry: 2022 Update

Irwin,
S. “Trends in the Operational Efficiency of the U.S. Ethanol Industry: 2022 Update.”
farmdoc
daily

(13):37, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, March 1, 2023.

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2023/03/trends-in-the-operational-efficiency-of-the-u-s-ethanol-industry-2022-update.html

 

Updated
02/28/23

May
Corn $5.90-$7.
00

 

Soybeans

·        
CBOT soybeans were higher mid-day on weather forecasts calling for hot temperature for Argentina, a USDA Attaché report covering Brazil that warned persistent rains are threatening the quality of soybeans, spreading against corn,
and reversal in soybean oil futures to the upside.

·        
Argentina’s BA Grains Exchange warned their Argentina soybean crop estimate will be lowered again due to drought conditions and recent hot temperatures. They are currently at 33.5 million tons, down from the initial projection
of 48 million tons. The trade is now sub 30MMT soybeans and sub 40 corn. One estimate is as low as 24 million tons.

·        
None expiring soybean meal contracts ended higher but off session highs. The May contract has the chance to test the $485-$490 area (would take out contract its absolute contract higher of $488.60) if the Argentina soybean crop
continues to shrink. Note the March absolute contract high was $508.80. A few weeks ago, we had a $515 target for March. May soybean meal is at a $17.10 discount to soon to expire March, so May, in our opinion, has some upside potential. It will be important
to monitor Argentina crush rates during the March and April period.

·        
Funds bought an estimated net 6,000 soybeans, 2,000 soybean meal and 2,000 soybean oil.

·        
CBOT soybean oil deliveries (Wed night) were 500, with an increase in 350 registrations.

·        
USDA export sales were poor for the soybean complex.

·        
Flooding across Malaysia and a weaker ringgit drove palm oil to a 4-month high.

·        
Indonesia is looking to roll out a domestic palm oil trade exchange using a domestic benchmark price, initially set by exporters trading through the new exchange. Exporters will be required to trade palm oil domestically before
committing to shipments outside the country by June.

·        
India’s palm oil imports during February fell to 586,000 tons, the lowest since June 2022, according to a Reuters poll.

·        
Brazil combined Jan-Feb soybean exports are down 31 percent from year ago.

·        
The USDA Attaché estimated Brazil 2022-23 soybean production unchanged at 153 million tons and pegged exports at a record 97 million tons. Crush was projected at 51.5 MMT.

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Oilseeds%20and%20Products%20Update_Brasilia_Brazil_BR2023-0002

Table

Description automatically generated

·        
StoneX: Brazil soybean crop 154.7MMT, above 154.2MMT previous.

·        
Agroconsult: Brazil soybean crop 153MMT, unchanged from previous.

 

 

 

 

Diagram

Description automatically generated with medium confidence

 

Updated
02/28/23

Soybeans
– May $14.50-$15.75

Soybean
meal – May $430-$490

Soybean
oil –
May
57-64

 

Wheat

·        
Wheat futures ended higher after Russia said the West is burying the grain export deal. Expect headlines to influence price direction until a decision is reached. At least discussions are underway. The current grain shipment deal
expires mid-March.

·        
Funds bought an estimated net 3,000 Chicago wheat contracts.

·        
USDA export sales were near the low end of a range of trade expectations.

·        
The 6-10 day for US hard red winter wheat areas show a good chance for precipitation.

·        
Paris May wheat was higher by 2.75 euros earlier at 275.25 per ton. 

·        
China will auction off 140,000 tons of wheat from state reserves on March 8.

·        
Graincorp Ltd sees the 2023-24 Australian wheat crop around 25-26 million tons, down from 36.6 million for 2022-23.

·        
Russia is loading wheat and barley for Middle Eastern and North African countries. Russia does not plan to change the export quota until new-crop.

·        
Bloomberg, citing a major global grain company, reported India may need to import wheat in 2023-24. Note earlier India estimated their wheat production to end up at a record.

·        
(Bloomberg) — India, the world’s second-biggest consumer of wheat, plans to buy about 34.2m tons of the grain from the 2022-23 crop for its food program, according to a food ministry statement.  That compares with 18.79m tons
procured in 2022-23

 

Export
Developments.

·        
Iran bought an unknown amount of Russian wheat.

·        
Japan’s AgMin bought 70,065 tons of food-quality wheat from the United States and Canada later this week. Original details as follows:

·        
Turkey bought 465,000 tons of barley at $276.00-$294.60 per ton c&f for shipment between March 10-April 10 and April 11-May 11.

·        
Japan in a SBS import tender seeks 70,000 tons of feed wheat and 40,000 tons of barley for arrival in Japan by August 31 on March 8.

·        
Jordan seeks 120,000 tons of wheat and 120,000 tons of barley on March 7 and March 8, respectively.

 

Rice/Other

·        
(Reuters) – Rates for India’s 5% broken parboiled variety RI-INBKN5-P1 fell to $390-$395 per ton from $397-$404, which was the highest in about two years, were also hurt by a depreciation in the rupee. Buying from African countries
has slowed a bit due to the recent rally in prices, said a Mumbai-based dealer with a global trade house.  India does not plan to lift a ban on broken rice exports and cut a 20% tax on overseas shipments of white rice as the top exporter tries to keep a lid
on domestic prices, two government sources said last month.

 

Updated
02/28/23

Chicago
– May $6.75-$7.75

KC
– May $7.50-$9.25

MN
May
$8.00-$10.00

 

 

U.S.
EXPORT SALES FOR WEEK ENDING  2/23/2023

 





























 

CURRENT
MARKETING YEAR

NEXT
MARKETING YEAR

COMMODITY

NET
SALES

OUTSTANDING
SALES

WEEKLY
EXPORTS

ACCUMULATED
EXPORTS

NET
SALES

OUTSTANDING
SALES

CURRENT
YEAR

YEAR

AGO

CURRENT
YEAR

YEAR

AGO

 

THOUSAND
METRIC TONS

WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  
HRW    

81.9

685.3

1,884.3

153.5

3,989.0

5,472.9

11.0

112.3

  
SRW    

26.7

587.4

589.3

71.8

2,085.2

2,084.8

5.0

188.1

  
HRS     

133.0

948.1

1,060.0

240.8

4,254.3

3,795.9

0.0

49.8

  
WHITE   

42.6

934.1

583.0

144.0

3,338.3

2,623.4

0.8

43.2

  
DURUM  

0.0

68.6

18.8

0.0

244.5

169.7

0.0

36.9

    
TOTAL

284.1

3,223.4

4,135.3

610.0

13,911.3

14,146.7

16.8

430.3

BARLEY

0.0

3.9

13.8

0.0

8.0

14.7

0.0

0.0

CORN

598.1

14,208.2

22,288.8

666.4

15,029.8

25,769.7

0.0

1,562.7

SORGHUM

52.8

581.1

3,886.5

105.7

471.7

2,781.0

0.0

0.0

SOYBEANS

360.7

7,208.6

9,390.2

880.8

41,605.2

40,776.3

134.0

1,307.8

SOY
MEAL

172.4

2,878.7

3,140.5

193.0

4,846.7

5,187.9

40.5

119.0

SOY
OIL

1.2

20.5

172.4

0.4

31.5

392.7

0.0

0.6

RICE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  
L G RGH

-0.1

162.4

228.6

2.1

310.8

867.5

0.0

0.0

  
M S RGH

0.0

32.1

9.0

0.0

18.3

4.7

0.0

0.0

  
L G BRN

2.4

4.7

18.0

0.9

13.8

31.4

0.0

0.0

  
M&S BR

0.0

35.7

44.0

0.0

8.6

41.9

0.0

0.0

  
L G MLD

1.0

127.9

106.8

1.1

368.8

506.4

0.0

0.0

  
M S MLD

14.3

129.0

179.1

27.4

173.5

249.2

0.0

0.0

    
TOTAL

17.6

491.9

585.4

31.5

894.0

1,701.1

0.0

0.0

COTTON

 

THOUSAND
RUNNING BALES      

   UPLAND

170.6

5,141.9

7,727.2

207.7

5,386.9

5,203.0

97.2

1,394.3

  
PIMA

1.2

39.3

180.8

3.0

96.9

234.4

0.0

3.5

 

 

 

Export
Sales Highlights

This
summary is based on reports from exporters for the period February 17-23, 2023.

Wheat: 
Net sales of 284,100 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were down 16 percent from the previous week, but up 39 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Japan (70,800 MT, including decreases of 1,000 MT), Iraq (55,000 MT, including 50,000
MT switched from unknown destinations), Mexico (43,000 MT), South Korea (33,700 MT), and the Philippines (32,800 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), were offset by reductions for unknown destinations (78,000 MT) and Barbados (700 MT). Net sales of 16,800 MT
for 2023/2024 were reported for Mexico (11,000 MT), Honduras (5,000 MT), and Japan (800 MT). Exports of 610,000 MT were up 81 percent from the previous week and 30 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Iraq (105,000 MT),
South Korea (96,900 MT), Mexico (78,600 MT), Japan (73,900 MT), and Indonesia (68,200 MT).

Corn: 
Net sales of 598,100 MT for 2022/2023 were down 27 percent from the previous week and 48 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Mexico (207,400 MT, including decreases of 6,200 MT), Japan (111,900 MT, including 50,400 MT switched from
unknown destinations and decreases of 500 MT), Colombia (103,700 MT, including 66,500 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 10,900 MT), China (76,000 MT), and unknown destinations (30,800 MT), were offset by reductions for Honduras (2,200
MT) and El Salvador (2,000 MT). Exports of 666,400 MT were down 3 percent from the previous week, but up 13 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Mexico (338,700 MT), Colombia (126,700 MT), Japan (85,400 MT), Honduras (51,900
MT), and Canada (14,600 MT).

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2022/2023, new optional sales of 90,000 MT were for South Korea (50,000 MT) and Egypt (40,000 MT). The current outstanding balance of 190,000 MT were for South Korea (150,000 MT) and Egypt (40,000 MT).

Barley: 
No net sales or exports were reported for the week.

Sorghum: 
Net sales of 52,800 MT for 2022/2023 were down 49 percent from the previous week and 44 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases reported for China (55,300 MT, including 56,300 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 1,000 MT), were
offset by reductions for unknown destinations (2,500 MT). Exports of 105,700 MT–a marketing-year high–were up 48 percent from the previous week and up noticeably from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were to China (105,300 MT) and Mexico (400 MT).

Rice: 
Net sales of 17,600 MT for 2022/2023 were down 45 percent from the previous week and 69 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Japan (13,200 MT), Canada (3,400 MT), Saudi Arabia (600 MT), and Austria (300 MT), were offset by reductions
for Honduras (100 MT). Exports of 31,500 MT were up 42 percent from the previous week, but down 14 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Japan (26,000 MT), Canada (2,400 MT), Mexico (2,100 MT), Austria (300 MT), and Saudi
Arabia (300 MT).

Soybeans: 
Net sales of 360,700 MT for 2022/2023–a marketing-year low–were down 14 percent from the previous week and 25 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for China (218,400 MT, including 202,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases
of 2,400 MT), Germany (125,200 MT), Mexico (91,300 MT, including 47,500 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 1,500 MT), Pakistan (66,000 MT), and the Netherlands (52,300 MT, including 57,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases
of 4,700 MT), were offset by reductions primarily for unknown destinations (300,700 MT). Net sales of 134,000 MT for 2023/2024 were reported for China (132,000 MT) and Taiwan (2,000 MT). Exports of 880,800 MT were down 45 percent from the previous week and
50 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to China (432,100 MT), Germany (125,200 MT), Mexico (105,300 MT), the Netherlands (52,300 MT), and Algeria (42,100 MT). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 
For 2022/2023, the current outstanding balance of 300 MT, all South Korea.

Export
for Own Account:
 For
2022/2023, the current exports for own account outstanding balance of 1,600 MT are for Canada (1,500 MT) and Taiwan (100 MT).

Export
Adjustments
Accumulated
exports of soybeans to the Netherlands were adjusted down 125,243 MT for week ending February 16th. The correct destination for this shipment is Germany. 

Soybean
Cake and Meal:
 
Net sales of 172,400 MT for 2022/2023 were up noticeably from the previous week and up 1 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Ecuador (80,000 MT), the Philippines (46,200 MT), Colombia (21,900 MT, including decreases of 25,100 MT),
Ireland (19,400 MT switched from the United Kingdom), and Canada (10,800 MT, including decreases of 16,400 MT), were offset by reductions for the United Kingdom (19,400 MT), Mexico (18,600 MT), and Belgium (1,000 MT). Net sales of 40,500 MT for 2023/2024 were
reported for Ecuador (40,000 MT) and Japan (500 MT). Exports of 193,000 MT were down 23 percent from the previous week and 27 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to South Korea (50,100 MT), Morocco (45,000 MT), Honduras (19,700
MT), Canada (19,600 MT), and Ireland (19,400 MT).

Soybean
Oil:
 
Net sales of 1,200 MT for 2022/2023 were down noticeably from the previous week and down 54 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases were reported for Canada (1,100 MT) and the United Arab Emirates (100 MT). Exports of 400 MT were down 92 percent from
the previous week and 82 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destination was to Canada (400 MT).

Cotton: 
Net sales of 170,600 RB for 2022/2023 were down 60 percent from the previous week and 37 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for China (81,600 RB), Vietnam (78,900 RB, including 900 RB switched from China and 100 RB switched from Japan),
India (18,400 RB), Turkey (15,200 RB), and South Korea (7,900 RB), were offset by reductions for Pakistan (48,000 RB) and Thailand (6,300 RB). Net sales of 97,200 RB for 2023/2024 were reported for Pakistan (88,000 RB), Thailand (7,000 RB), and Indonesia (2,200
RB). Exports of 207,700 RB were up 7 percent from the previous week and 4 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Vietnam (50,300 RB), Pakistan (40,900 RB), China (23,200 RB), Turkey (17,600 RB), and Mexico (13,000 RB). Net
sales of Pima totaling 1,200 RB for 2022/2023 were down 14 percent from the previous week, but up 23 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for China (900 RB switched from Vietnam), Colombia (500 RB), Thailand (300 RB), Turkey (100 RB,
including decreases of 200 RB), and Indonesia (100 RB), were offset by reductions for Vietnam (900 RB). Exports of 3,000 RB were down 25 percent from the previous week and 52 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were to Egypt (900 RB), China
(900 RB), India (400 RB), Pakistan (400 RB), and Guatemala (100 RB). 

Optional
Origin Sales:
 For
2022/2023, the current outstanding balance of 9,300 RB, all Malaysia.

Export
for Own Account:
 For
2022/2023, new exports for own account totaling 26,600 RB were to China (13,800 RB) and Vietnam (12,800 RB). Exports for own account totaling 3,500 RB to China were applied to new or outstanding sales. The current exports for own account outstanding balance
of 120,100 RB are for China (66,400 RB), Vietnam (39,100 RB), Turkey (5,700 RB), Pakistan (5,000 RB), South Korea (2,400 RB), and India (1,500 RB).

Hides
and Skins

Net sales of 390,200 pieces for 2023 were up 7 percent from the previous week, but down 12 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for China (267,500 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 25,400 pieces), Mexico (62,500 whole cattle
hides, including decreases of 10,900 pieces), South Korea (39,800 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 4,500 pieces), Indonesia (6,000 whole cattle hides, including decreases of 600 pieces), and Turkey (5,100 MT), were offset by reductions for Italy
(200 pieces). Total net sales reductions of 400 calf skins were for China. In addition, total net sales reductions of 200 kip skins were for China. Exports of 512,300 pieces were up 13 percent from the previous week and 7 percent from the prior 4-week average.
Whole cattle hides exports were primarily to China (345,300 pieces), South Korea (60,200 pieces), Mexico (54,500 pieces), Turkey (14,100 pieces), and Thailand (11,400 pieces). Exports of 1,800 calf skins were to China. In addition, export of 1,000 kip skins
were to China. 

 

Net
sales of 152,100 wet blues for 2023 were up 48 percent from the previous week and 71 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for China (52,300 unsplit, including decreases of 100 unsplit), Hong Kong (24,900 unsplit, including decreases of
100 unsplit), Vietnam (19,600 unsplit), Italy (19,400 unsplit, including decreases of 200 unsplit), and Thailand (17,600 unsplit), were offset by reductions for Brazil (100 grain splits). Exports of 163,000 wet blues were down 2 percent from the previous week,
but up 19 percent from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Italy (45,700 unsplit), China (35,800 unsplit), Vietnam (31,600 unsplit), Thailand (23,500 unsplit), and Taiwan (10,800 unsplit). Net sales reductions of 1,600 splits resulting
in increases for Taiwan (800 pounds), were more than offset by reductions for Vietnam (2,400 pounds). Exports of 115,800 pounds were primarily to Vietnam (74,100 pounds).

 

Beef: 
Net sales of 8,100 MT for 2023 were down 48 percent from the previous week and 62 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Japan (2,600 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), Taiwan (2,300 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), China (1,500
MT, including decreases of 200 MT), Mexico (400 MT), and Hong Kong (400 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), were offset by reductions for South Korea (200 MT) and Colombia (100 MT). Exports of 16,100 MT were down 4 percent from the previous week and 5 percent
from the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Japan (4,900 MT), South Korea (4,000 MT), China (2,800 MT), Mexico (1,300 MT), and Taiwan (1,000 MT).

 

Pork: 
Net sales of 31,000 MT for 2023 were down 40 percent from the previous week and 21 percent from the prior 4-week average. Increases primarily for Mexico (13,400 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), South Korea (4,500 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Japan
(4,300 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), Canada (2,300 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), and Australia (1,400 MT), were offset by reductions for Nicaragua (100 MT). Exports of 30,400 MT were up 4 percent from the previous week, but down 3 percent from
the prior 4-week average. The destinations were primarily to Mexico (13,800 MT), China (4,100 MT), Japan (3,800 MT), South Korea (2,200 MT), and Canada (1,500 MT).

 

March
2, 2023                                                  1                FOREIGN AGRICULTURAL SERVICE/USDA

 

 

 

Terry Reilly 
Senior Commodity Analyst – Grain and Oilseeds
Futures International
One Lincoln Center
18W140 Butterfield Rd.
Suite 1450
Oakbrook terrace, Il. 60181
Work: 312.604.1366
ICE IM: treilly1
Skype IM: fi.treilly

treilly@futures-int.com 

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